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Greenbriar Sustainable Living Inc V.GRB

Alternate Symbol(s):  GEBRF

Greenbriar Sustainable Living Inc. is a developer of sustainable entry-level housing and renewable energy projects. The Company’s primary business is the acquisition, management, development, and possible sale of real estate and renewable energy projects. It operates through three segments: real estate development in the United States (Real Estate), solar energy projects in Puerto Rico (Solar Energy) and corporate headquarters located in Canada (Corporate). The Company is focused on building two large-scale projects, namely Sage Ranch in Tehachapi, California and Montalva in Guanica, Puerto Rico. Sage Ranch is a real estate community of over 995 entry-level homes in the Tehachapi Valley, a community located in southern California. Its Montalva property (1,747 acres) is a large utility-scale solar and battery storage building with an initial size of 80 MWac or 160 MWdc, located in the southwestern coastal area of Puerto Rico. Its Cordero Ranch property is located in Cedar City, Utah.


TSXV:GRB - Post by User

Comment by GRBSlaveon Jan 17, 2021 4:06am
195 Views
Post# 32314737

RE:RE:RE:Update to GRBSlave

RE:RE:RE:Update to GRBSlave

Jeff, just to be clear, this is not an attack on the company. I think I believe in this company as much as anyone else here. I feel like I'm trying to gauge the overall feelings of the investors.

Maybe that's a bit presumptuous, but I bring it up as a hopefully a fair analysis of the company.

Personally, I think this company can be a king maker. At around 20x return, i think a lot of us investors can become millionaires on this one company. This isn't a game, this is real life. Real money, real wealth can be made just like that.  Put some money into a company, and essentially do nothing. Jeff is doing all the heavy lifting and we're just riding on his back.  He gets his well deserved millions for basically doing all the work, yet we basically get our millions just for believing in him. 

This is the opportunity, but still there's a feeling that I'm hesitant to say 100% opportunity until we see the actual approval, the actual project up and running. I'm not asking for the full completion of everything, all the revenue and profit numbers provided, just that first step. When Lebron James was first selected to the NBA, most people knew he was going to be great, but until we actually saw him play, actually saw some stats, actually saw how he changed teams, it was still a belief. 

I think this is where we're at. A potential hall of famer, but we haven't even played a game yet. We've just been drafted, but everyone is waiting to watch a game played first. WIND is like the high school games. Some have seen them and can attest to his performance, but this is the big leagues. WIND was great of what I heard, and it's a great demonstration of what is possible. But we're on to something greater and bigger. Bigger revenue, bigger profits, bigger market cap/price.  Everyone is dying to see that first game. Everyone is waiting to see how we do in the big leagues.

I think everyone is anxious to see that happen. I think once we get that monkey off our back, we can sit back a bit and not be so hesitant. If we just see what projects are in the pipeline, you could say that this stock is SEVERELY undervalued. But there must be a reason why it is. I think it's because of that first step, that first approval, the all green lights, the all go. For sure, I think we're just seconds away from the green lights, but we haven't gotten the green light yet. Everyone is waiting on that green light. You could say obviously the green light is coming, but until you see a green light, you can't be 100% sure the green light is coming. I believe the green light is coming, that it's just been delayed. If it's delayed and people just gave up because the delay suggests to some people that the green light won't come, then I can see that  as a buying opportunity if you believe the green light is coming (especially if you think it's coming soon). 

Those who gave up on the green light will think that those still waiting on that light are fools for still waiting as they believe the green light will never come. Those who believe think those who don't believe are fools because they believe it's obvious the green light is coming because they've done the calculation to know the green light will come. They just don't know when green light will come.

Unfortunately we can't anticipate delays, but we can forecast what will happen. We can't even truly forecast the timeframe of the delays when they happen, we can guess but I don't think we can acurrately know that timeframe.

So we're at a bit of a crossroad. If you KNEW that this is a 10, 20x stock in a few years, wouldn't you put all your money into this stock? Spend almost nothing, and use all your savings and put it into this stock? If you KNEW that this stock would make you a millionaire/multi millionaire, you might even take a loan to buy the stock NOW. But knowing is a finicky thing. Forecasting isn't knowing, as much as you can be confident, no one KNOWS the future. I don't want to get too philosophical and question the ability of knowing anything, but my point is that nothing is 100%. I think you can only get to 99.9% knowing of anything, there will also be that 0.1% uncertainty. 

I forecasted a lot of things about this company. I'm not sure at what percentage I'm confident about all this happening. I'm already in my mind visualing this as all beings given, just a formality to get to $30.  I would say I'm 80% sure of this valuation. I think everyone has their own perception of what that percentage is. If we were all at 99.9% I think the price would already be at $10 by now.  I think median investor is at about 30/40% now just based on price and market cap of this company. If you were at 30% confidence then this price might seem high for the risk. At my 80% I think the price is really undervalued. That's my opinion, but I realize that this is just how I view things and how others view things can and are totally different from mine.

So let's all do our own analysis and see where we get to in terms of our price/market cap projections. And don't just randomly blurt out a price target. Try to calculate the revenue, profit from the potential projects and see where you get from them. This should get you to a price range. The range covering what is the best/worst case scenario. I think this is all we can do.  This I think will also give more confidence on where this company is going. Price target projection means nothing without some thought into why you think the company is worth that much.

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