RE:Disclosure.Hey Gabora,
Seeing as how nobody has actually given you any helpfull commentary, try this on for size...
I HIGHLY recommend you listen to the this podcast from last week. I think It will answer a lot of your 2 year time horizon questions.
https://www.macrovoices.com/932-macrovoices-253-art-berman-u-s-oil-production-still-set-for-steep-decline-in-2021
- You will need to create an account (free and easy)
- download the charts and graphs package, again, easy.
- Set an hour aside and follow along. Art comes on at around the 18:50 mark, but the opening commentary is worth listening to as well.
Best of luck in 2021'. Averaging down served me well on TOG, I was a holder pre-pandemic, and am already 40% into the positive from averaging down.