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OrganiGram Holdings Inc T.OGI

Alternate Symbol(s):  OGI

Organigram Holdings Inc. is focused on producing cannabis for patients and adult-recreational consumers, as well as developing international business partnerships to extend the Company's global footprint. The Company, through its subsidiary, Organigram Inc., is a licensed producer of cannabis, cannabis- derived products and cannabis infused edibles in Canada. It has also developed and acquired a portfolio of legal adult-use recreational cannabis brands, including Edison, Holy Mountain, Big Bag O’ Buds, SHRED, SHRED’ems, Monjour, Laurentian, Tremblant Cannabis and Trailblazer. It specializes in vape and infused pre-roll categories backed by a portfolio of owned brands, including the BOXHOT brand. Its products include pre-milled flower, pre-rolls, weed gummies, shred x vapes, and extracts. It operates facilities in Moncton, New Brunswick and Lac-Superieur, Quebec, with a dedicated edibles manufacturing facility in Winnipeg, Manitoba. Its subsidiaries also include 10870277 Canada Inc.


TSX:OGI - Post by User

Comment by CanadianKiaon Feb 13, 2021 11:44am
262 Views
Post# 32561729

RE:My advice, manage your exposure, excercise caution.

RE:My advice, manage your exposure, excercise caution.Great review of the situation. thanks

I think the volitality will continue for hte next few months until there is some clear picture of what's happening in the states.

I still dont understand how people would play the margin game in this industry, but hey, if it works for you great.

I rather use cash

GLTA

PUNJABI wrote:
Initially, when the sector started to rally after the US elections, it triggered a short squeeze of most of the highly shorted stocks.  In the beginning, OGI was late in joining the rally. Now OGI trades with big stocks in the sector.

The entire sector became really overbought and got ahead of its self and needs to cool down and consolidate. RSI needs to come down further to form a better base. Sometimes the stocks can remain overbought for a while. The issue with that is that they remain very volatile with big swings and some retail investors on margin and fully invested can get destroyed. 

This sector is in reversal and possible bull market. This is confirmed by the golden crosses in the sector. I checked OGI along with major stocks and ETF has done that. The reversal in the sector was triggered by a US policy change.


Yesterday after the gap down along with other stocks in the sector, major stocks in the sector poped.  OGI rise was led by CIBC buying in the morning hitting a high of $5.85. As the sector sold off, OGI gave away most of the gains. OGI is trading with the sector now but closed in green, not like major stocks that turned in red, OGI had earlier lost more in percentage in one day than other stocks.

CIBC which was buying in the morning sold in the afternoon and the stock lost most of its gains for the day.  Seems that CIBC is trading with the daily market trend.


CIBC bought 6.4m and sold 6.5m shares. Their average buying price was 5.135 and a lower selling price of $5.036 potentially a trading loss of half a million dollars provide most of the shares traded were by them. Few million shares can be retail shares.

Most of the day the stock traded around $5 which is why the average trading price of the day for all 19.5 m shares is $5.058. The buying kind of stopped in the sector in the last hour of trading and the whole sector drifted lower. Could be because of the weekend or the sector is taking a pause. 

I have been trading for decades now and have seen the bubbles in the past too. The bubble is forming in this sector too. But never seen these crazy volumes before.  In every bubble, the herd chases the stocks and creates a lot of volatility. The size of the herd has become huge and is very unpredictable.  People who get early in the stock make good money but the ones who get in late in the run-up usually have a bad ending.

My advice to everyone is don't buy on margin and do not expose yourself too much that you cannot financially recover. Diversify in stocks and sectors. Stay on earth and do try to go on the money. Take profits and manage your exposure. taking profits you will never get poor. Learn to invest. You should know how to read a balance sheet and do proper DD. learn to read the charts. If you want to trade then have a good trading platform and trading station. Do not get caught up in the hype. The stock market has become one big cansio. You can choose to gamble and lose everything or invest to make money.


Good luck.





House Positions for C:OGI from 20210212 to 20210212
House Bought $Val Ave Sold $Val Ave Net $Net
1 Anonymous 4,670,160 23,033,918 4.932 3,945,383 19,868,806 5.036 724,777 -3,165,112
53 Morgan Stanley 715,482 3,518,306 4.917 529,983 2,699,402 5.093 185,499 -818,904
19 Desjardins 248,694 1,287,572 5.177 231,214 1,188,831 5.142 17,480 -98,741
80 National Bank 472,353 2,450,995 5.189 463,532 2,386,371 5.148 8,821 -64,624
33 Canaccord 407,627 2,078,600 5.099 400,458 2,084,080 5.204 7,169 5,480
28 BBS 26,154 132,061 5.049 21,400 111,403 5.206 4,754 -20,658
143 Pershing 20,270 103,664 5.114 15,797 86,925 5.503 4,473 -16,739
22 Fidelity 3,000 16,290 5.43 0   3,000 -16,290
83 Mackie 3,780 18,900 5.00 1,000 5,420 5.42 2,780 -13,480
72 Credit Suisse 1,520 7,339 4.828 2 8 4.00 1,518 -7,331
89 Raymond James 5,400 29,310 5.428 4,100 20,295 4.95 1,300 -9,015
84 Ind Trading 700 3,237 4.624 500 2,125 4.25 200 -1,112
15 UBS 0   600 2,400 4.00 -600 2,400
6 Infor 0   1,000 4,650 4.65 -1,000 4,650
56 Edward Jones 1,000 4,250 4.25 2,200 9,944 4.52 -1,200 5,694
74 GMP 0   1,250 6,775 5.42 -1,250 6,775
36 Latimer 90,689 464,436 5.121 92,324 471,002 5.102 -1,635 6,566
70 Manulife 2,900 16,157 5.571 4,650 25,046 5.386 -1,750 8,889
65 Goldman 25,534 115,734 4.533 31,848 153,102 4.807 -6,314 37,368
14 ITG 23,620 122,271 5.177 30,614 154,866 5.059 -6,994 32,595
85 Scotia 766,406 3,864,590 5.042 773,581 3,832,849 4.955 -7,175 -31,741
57 Interactive 8,675 40,728 4.695 22,402 121,581 5.427 -13,727 80,853
212 Virtu 15,377 79,155 5.148 35,166 170,464 4.847 -19,789 91,309
88 Credential 160,838 824,610 5.127 199,269 1,031,541 5.177 -38,431 206,931
9 BMO Nesbitt 561,371 2,827,140 5.036 603,920 3,112,453 5.154 -42,549 285,313
124 Questrade 169,667 857,327 5.053 233,213 1,171,842 5.025 -63,546 314,515
79 CIBC 6,477,091 33,262,148 5.135 6,557,893 33,023,640 5.036 -80,802 -238,508
39 Merrill Lynch 442,012 2,140,602 4.843 547,310 2,663,723 4.867 -105,298 523,121
2 RBC 1,073,047 5,495,785 5.122 1,198,705 6,136,699 5.119 -125,658 640,914
13 Instinet 305,444 1,471,455 4.817 434,121 2,186,191 5.036 -128,677 714,736
7 TD Sec 2,847,872 14,597,466 5.126 3,163,248 16,131,613 5.10 -315,376 1,534,147
TOTAL 19,546,683 98,864,046 5.058 19,546,683 98,864,047 5.058 0 1


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