RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Hedge or dilute? How about NEITHER!Completely agree with kramaswamy. They must demonstrate to institutional investors that they can execute on an agreed upon plan and properly manage risk. I think Trevali would be very happy with zinc prices being 1.30 $/lb plus over the next 2 years, even if they lose a little on their Caribou mine hedge.
You can also look at a capital raise (share count increase) as neutral to good. With a capital raise, you do not have to pay interest on the money and there is no corresponding increse to debt load. It also shows confidence in the company because a shareholder is at the back of the line if things do not go well.
If the company does do well in the future, they can either buy back shares or issue dividends. Either is positive on the share price and makes investors happy. If the share price actually went down and they bought back shares, the money they raised was still cheaper then acquiring it as debt (which always has to be paid back).
Thus it is all about performance now. The next 12 months should be good and it is up to Trevali to deliver.