Oil at $65We all know Crew benefits from an increase in oil prices. Below is a reminder of the assumptions and sensitivity analysis used by Crew in their projections.
2021
Expected AFF: $85-105 Million
Assumptions for WTI: U$45.20/barrel
Sensitivity for a C$1 change in WTI prices: +1.4 Million is AFF/year
2022
Expected AFF: $120-150 Million
Assumptions for WTI: U$44.60/barrel
Sensitivity for a C$1 change in WTI prices: +2.0 Million is AFF/year
There are many other variables, such as exchange rates and WCS prices that come into play, but if these prices hold, we are talking about 20-25% increases in AFF per year. Natural gas prices are also higher than expected.
It is looking good.