Shaw Communications Inc. V.SJR.A

RE:RE:RE:Merger

[Capharnaum]

BoredDeveloper wrote: That's the big point we should be talking more about, isn't it?  It's not as black-and-white as the deal happening or not.  Much more likely is that they will be forced to divest one or both mobile businesses.  If that happens, what does it mean for us and the share price?

Even without forming one wireless business, they could still benefit from synergies by signing deals between the two, similar to the way Bell & Telus share cell towers.  The regulators would be fine with that, presumably.

If Shaw were forced to divest WIND, what would that mean for us?  Best case they add on a second agreement that changes nothing in this one, worst case they modify it to include some complex share trade that leaves us all guessing what they're worth?

Is there a worse realistic outcome than that?

And it's still possible (likely, even) that the regulators will just OK it providing they agree to appease Canadians with low prices for some number of years more than they already promised.

Although I see the logic in selling now... I'm optimistic enough to hang on a while yet, at least.

From what I've read, it's Rogers problem to sell the assets that they couldn't keep (due to regulation), not the other way around, so it shouldn't affect the buyout price.