TSX:SGR.UN - Post by User
Comment by
sclardaon Mar 30, 2021 1:23am
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Post# 32904145
RE:RE:RE:RE:What is likelihood of distribution increase in 2021?
RE:RE:RE:RE:What is likelihood of distribution increase in 2021?logicandinertia wrote
Agreed. drop in the bucket. your rationale around a small bump in the distribution is likely spot on. looking historically, this team hasn't been shy about distribution bumps and debt leverage is addressed by issuing new equity units and relates more to keeping away from leverage covenant limit than investor optics IMO. I don't mind the issuance as long as management is doing smart deals that are accretive.
The leverage covenant for SGR is a maximum of 65% debt to gross book value.
Subsequent to this deal, the debt/GBV will be at 60.8%, which is in the ball park of historical range, as shown here:
Dec 2020: 54.9% (completed a $75mm bought deal in dec that brought it down)
Dec 2019: 60%
Dec 2018: 61.5%
Dec 2017: 58.9%
and AFFO Payout Ratios:
2020: 98.9%
2019: 86.8%
2018: 102.6%
2017: 84.7%
so if post deal close, they can generate an incremental several million and elect to bump the distribution by $0.003 per month to reach $0.075 per month, that costs a little over $2mm annually and brings down payout ratio...
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Sounds good to me.