RE:RE:Why is RIPET’s Export of PROPANE at 48k BBLS/day for 1 yrGunnerG. Perhaps you are right.
1)Altagas does not want to increase Ripet beyond 50k bbls/day throughput in a high price/good demand market. Maybe, Altagas wants to spend their CAP X dollars not on RIPET but on the VOPAK Tank Farm. I was lead to believe that Altagas could get to nameplate capacity with minimum cost and effort. Perhaps I misunderstood.
RIPET Nameplate Capacity :80k bbl/day
Licence : 2 separate licencse at 46k/bbls for a total of 92k bbls/day.
2)On the rail study, here is the whole page that I referenced for railcars into RIPET from the VOPAK study. The link is also included . GO to Chapter6. I highlighted the text. It is much clearer in the actual document . VOPAK’s Tank Farm calls for an initial ramp of production of 100 rail cars /day . At full production the amount would increase to 240 railcars / day.
6.1 Future Rail Traffic Without the Project The reasonably foreseeable Projects and activities that will contribute to increased rail traffic within the Skeena subdivision include: › Fairview Container Terminal Phase 2 (Port Strategy 2018): - Will expand on the dock rail capacity with the addition of 6,680 feet of rail track by 2022. › Ridley Island Export Logistics Facility (Stantec 2020): - An intermodal transloading capacity of 400,000 TEU per year in phase one, and 900,000 TEU for export in phase two. - 100-120 rail cars per train. - Three trains per day in phase one, and up to 4.5 trains per day in phase two. › Pembina Prince Rupert LPG Export Terminal (Pembina 2020): - Small scale rail terminal. - Permitted capacity of approximately 25,000 barrels per day of LPG and is expected to be in service mid-2020. - Estimated increase in rail traffic of 20-25 rail cars per day. › Wolverine Terminals – Prince Rupert Marine Fuels Service Project (Wolverine Terminals 2020): - Offloading marine fuel from the rail cars into the fuel storage barge. - Estimated increase in rail traffic of 10 rail cars per day. › Ridley Island Propane Export Facility (AltaGas 2020): - Capable of shipping up to 1.2 million tonnes of propane per year. - Estimated that the terminal will offload approximately 50-60 rail cars per day. Based on the assumption of 100 cars per train on average, the above projects will increase annual rail traffic 7% from 5,475 trains per year to approximately 5,840 trains per year without the Project.
. 6.2 Rail Traffic Effects related to the Project At full Project capacity, the Skeena subdivision will be carrying 240 liquid gas-by-rail cars per day (60 for liquified petroleum gas, 90 for clean petroleum products [e.g., diesel], and 90 for methanol) associated with the Project. An increase of 2.4 trains per day is projected to deliver product to the Vopak facility. The Project will contribute approximately 876 additional trains per year on the Skeena subdivision between Gitaus and Prince Rupert. The annual train traffic will increase from 5,475 trains per year to 6,351 trains per year (16% increase) as a result of the proposed Project (Figure 3). https://www.projects.eao.gov.bc.ca/api/public/document/5fc016613afc1f0021cb35df/download/20201109_656431_RPT_Vopak_Rail_Supplemental_Report_Final.pdf GLTA
RFguy.
PS I am expecting higher export volumes from Ferndale. I am expecting Ferndale exports will surpass RIPET's toward the end of the 2
nd qtr or early 3
rd qtr.