The Future of UGEI have lots of thoughts on the year-end financials and conference call, and when I have time I will share them. However, one thing to remember is the cash value of their current backlog. UGE sold a project in November for $1.10/watt USD (net), suggesting their current backlog of 60.6 megawatts could be sold for around $80 million cash (CDN) once commercially operational. This is against a current market cap of $53 million CDN.
And by hanging on to the projects, the NPV of discounted future cash flows is currently worth around $126 million CDN.
Looking further out, let's imagine 100 megawatts in 2024, which at $1.10/watt would be worth around $135 million in cash. Adding 100 MW per year after that would land you somewhere between $675 million and $945 million of cash value by end of decade, depending on how conservative you want to be with your forecasting.
Additionally, the NPV of operating projects' future cash flows PLUS backlog could well be worth more than $1 billion by 2031.