GREY:NEVDQ - Post by User
Post by
Notgnuon May 24, 2021 9:17pm
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Post# 33258183
My comparison between Ivanhoe and NCU >>>
My comparison between Ivanhoe and NCU >>>I am guessing a 30% political risk factor (or discount on IVN) and that Ivanhoe's KK project represents 85% of IVN'S Enterprise Value (E/V)
*** Note: also that IVN'S adjusted portion of the project is $8.5 billion E/V for 40% of the overall production.
| IVN @ 40% | NCU @ 100% | |
Long term average copper production per year (uses 500,000 tonnes production) | 440 million pounds | 290 million pounds | |
$4.60 copper less ($1.15 for IVN and $2.00 for NCU) all in cost per pound | $3.45 C/F | $2.60 C/F | |
Long term avg annual free cash flow | $1.52 billion | $750 million | |
IVN E/V X 85% for K.K. only | $8.5 billion | | |
NCU E/V plus $1B to build the open pit | | $1.4 billion | |
Cash flow factor 1:6 adjustment IVN to NCU | $267 million | $750 million | |
DRC 30 year risk vs USA risk neg 30% | $187 million | $750 million | 4X |
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Ivn = 4X as expensive | | | |
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Looking for factors to adjust this further to update it's accuracy if anyone has comments that are actionable.
Cheers,
Notgnu