I posted this a few months ago. It explains why OBE and IPO are exploding. They are massively undervalued relative to YGR although all are undervalued relative to Other players.
The 2020 reserve reports for each of these Cardium producers use similar price decks and therefore are a good point of comparison. I am taking the NPV numbers discounted at 10% which already include reclamation costs, then deducting the net debt and dividing the balance by the shares outstanding. I believe this is the best indication of relative value. I have compared these numbers with the current share price to establish relative undervaluation. The results are as follows:
PDP. TP. TPP
IPO. $1.02. $1.94. $3.50
$.53. 52%. 27%. 15%
OBE. $3.70. $6.28. $9.78
$1.50. 40%. 24%. 15%
YGR. $1.36. $10.58. $15.29
$1.10. 81%. 10%. 7%
BNE. $2.64. $9.91. $16.55
$3.52. 133%. 36%. 21%
All of these stocks are using conservative price decks that are consistent across companies and are about 30% below current prices for 2021. They are all undervalued but I wanted to highlight that some are much worse than others. If you did the same analysis for the senior producers, not one would have a stock price below their PDP book value.