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Baytex Energy Corp T.BTE

Alternate Symbol(s):  BTE

Baytex Energy Corp. is a Canada-based energy company. The Company is engaged in the acquisition, development and production of crude oil and natural gas in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and in the Eagle Ford in the United States. Its crude oil and natural gas operations are organized into three main operating areas: Light Oil USA (Eagle Ford), Light Oil Canada (Pembina Duvernay / Viking) and Heavy Oil Canada (Peace River / Peavine / Lloydminster). Its Eagle Ford assets are located in the core of the liquids-rich Eagle Ford shale in South Texas. The Eagle Ford shale covers approximately 269,000 gross acres of crude oil operations. Its Viking assets are located in the Dodsland area in southwest Saskatchewan and in the Esther area of southeastern Alberta. It also holds 100% working interest land position in the East Duvernay resource play in central Alberta.


TSX:BTE - Post by User

Comment by Unlucky13on Jun 28, 2021 6:59am
173 Views
Post# 33458610

RE:3 days left in Q2. WTI $65+ is liquid gold

RE:3 days left in Q2. WTI $65+ is liquid goldWolf you analysis is good but you haven't built in any contingency plans.  The 5 year plan for BTE is based on $55 oil.  Q1 the price was $59, it's only been one quarter of $65 oil for an average.  Oil may average $65 for Q2.  That brings you the yearly average just over the $60.   Even if oil averages $70 to the end of the year, that brings the yearly average to $65 a barrel.  That's only $10 ahead of the curve, $55 next year followed by two years of $50 brings the average back the 5 year target of $55.  Throw in a $30 average for year 5 and oil is under target at a $50 average.  It's only been a few months of $60 sustained oil and you are not taking into account OPEC causing a ripple back to the mean.  A $50 oil price over the next 5 years brings the stock back into the penny range.  We are not out of the woods and still suffer crushing debt.  Your analysis only holds up if oil does.  At $50 5 years ago the stock was $9, at $50 today it's only a 99 cent stock.

It all hinges on the oil price and you nor I can predict that, but based on 7 year averages $74 isn't going to hold.
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