tHANKS to the FDA green light yesterday, the priority voucher will be sold on market, its value is of 80M$ to 120M$ u.s. Lets go with 100M$....lmnl gets 70%, +5M$ + 17M$, all u.s.$....so lmnl gets 70M+17M+5M= 92M$ u.s.... about 100M$ canadian... market cap on NR was about ...100M$ as well so i see major push next days.
at least 10$+ next trading days (market cap is extremely low)"
However, this makes no sense to projext high share price based on the FDA approval! Here is why.
NORMALLY WHEN YOU GET AN FDA APPROVAL, YOU ARE NOW GUARANTEED A STEADY STREAM OF REVENUS IN THE FUTURE. UNFORUNATELY FOR LMNL, KEDRION WIL BE THE BENEFICIARY OF THIS FUTURE REVENUE STREAM. ALL LMNL WILL GET IS THE $5 M OPTION PAYMENT AND A ONE TIME LUMP SUM OF ABOUT $70 M FOR THE VOUCHER! NOTHING FROM THIS DOWN THE ROAD. THUS WITH 29 MILLION OUTSTANDING SHARES ALL THIS IS WORTH PER SHARE IS $70M + $5M / 29 M = $2.59 .PER SHARE OVER CURRENT PRICE AND THEN DRIFT DOWNWARD FROM THERE AS THERE IS NOTHING HERE THAT SPEAKS TO FUTURE REVENUE. FOR THAT THEY WILL HAVE TO WAIT MANY YEARS, SPEND MORE MONEY ON CLINICAL TRIALS FOR A SHOT AT A POSSIBLE REVNUE STREAM WAY DOWN THE ROAD IF EVERYTHING GOES RIGHT. THIS IS NOT WHAT CURRENT INVESTORS WANT, DEAD MONEY FOR MANY YEARS.
SO I PREDICT THE SHARES WILL GO TO SOMETHING OVER $4.15 + $2.59 -= $6.74 (AND PERHAPS OVERSHOOT THAT FOR A BRIEF EXUBERANCE IF THAT HAS NOT ALREADY HAPPENED AFTER MARKET) AND THEN DRIFT DOWN TO THE RECENT TARGET OF $4.50 OR BELOW!