Platinum and palladium have surprised to the upside this year. Various mine site disruptions and other constraints will continue to limit supply growth, as investment and industrial demand remain firm. As such, supply-side developments will very likely help platinum and palladium, as reported by TD Securities.
Environmental regulations and mine site problems a manna for PGMs
“Easy money and trillions in government spending, progressing vaccine programs across the Western world and China’s surprisingly strong economic performance, should all continue to be important upside catalysts into 2022 as well, despite the microchip precipitated slowdowns in autos.”
“As the global economic recovery continues and global pollution standards tighten, the recent mine site disruptions suggest hefty deficits and another attempt at $3,000/oz for palladium and new highs above $1,375/oz for platinum next year.”
“Should our industrial and investor demand projections materialize into 2022, the recent mine site problems and the resulting lowering of production guidance by Norilsk should see supply-demand fundamentals stay tight, particularly for palladium.”