OptGreen wrote: And Piper knows Dar? One man's opinion, therory plus "ex acquisitions"...very thin at best. There is far more to see in the FQ1/22 report that will speak to the reality of the company and it's current standing.
I'll be 'looking out' for the report, just like Piper...could it hit $24, absolutely and what a buying opportunity if that should happen. This company is a much different animal today than at time in the past and there will be much different results going forward. Klein/team will realize profit and by mid '22 will be no surprise. The weak and profitless management of the past is just that, the past.
Looking like a green close today and anywhere in the $20s is buying oppotunity going forward. Everyone needs to do their DD and buy, sell, hold accordingly. JMHO...Opt
02:24 PM EDT, 07/08/2021 (MT Newswires) -- Piper Sandler's Michael Lavery has kept its Neutral rating on Canopy Growth, and lowered its one year price target to US$24, from US$27, as it expects modest sequential top-line declines in Q1 2022 as COVID restrictions and provincial inventory de-loading to continue to weigh on gains. The analyst expects store growth in Canada to drive gains in F22, though a 50% lift in store count likely translates to something closer to ~20% sales growth for Canopy (ex-acquisitions), as geographic mix, product mix and SKU rationalizations drive a lower level of wholesale sales gains.
Lavery has also trimmed 2022 sales from ~$735 million to ~$690 million and cutting $1,000 million 2023 sales estimate to $890 million. Q1 2022 revenue outlook has also been lowered, from $151 million to $141 million.
Canopy has dual Canadian headwinds, as market share weakness and inventory reductions by provincial boards look like a bigger drag than anticipated, driving a $8 million cut to estimates. Provinces are rationalizing SKUs. In the US, Canopy's Q4 2021 Biosteel sell-in to distributors is a headwind that had been recognized, but Lavery is now trimming US$2-3 million more from estimates to be more conservative.
Pricing competition remains intense in Canada for recreational use products. Piper Sandler still projects SG&A as a percent of sales to steadily decline, but at a slower pace.
Darholio wrote: When the price goes to below $27 look out!!
I would expect that to happen today.