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Baytex Energy Corp T.BTE

Alternate Symbol(s):  BTE

Baytex Energy Corp. is a Canada-based energy company. The Company is engaged in the acquisition, development and production of crude oil and natural gas in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and in the Eagle Ford in the United States. Its crude oil and natural gas operations are organized into three main operating areas: Light Oil USA (Eagle Ford), Light Oil Canada (Pembina Duvernay / Viking) and Heavy Oil Canada (Peace River / Peavine / Lloydminster). Its Eagle Ford assets are located in the core of the liquids-rich Eagle Ford shale in South Texas. The Eagle Ford shale covers approximately 269,000 gross acres of crude oil operations. Its Viking assets are located in the Dodsland area in southwest Saskatchewan and in the Esther area of southeastern Alberta. It also holds 100% working interest land position in the East Duvernay resource play in central Alberta.


TSX:BTE - Post by User

Comment by Unluckyon Jul 21, 2021 1:26pm
179 Views
Post# 33581938

RE:I`m loaded to the gills in this...

RE:I`m loaded to the gills in this...BTE made $70 million in Q1.  Oil has been higher Q2 so if it holds to the end of the year they can make $400 million potentially.  575 million shares outstanding or so.  That's approximately 70 cents per share in free cash flow.  At a 5 times P/E ratio that's $3.50 per share. Maybe we get there by January 2022 if oil prices stay here.  Also, the company owes $400 million in 2024.  If oil holds at these levels we can pay off the debt potentially this year.  But if oil sinks back to $55 or $50 it's tooth and nails again to just survive, and not thrive.  At $55 oil it's 200 million a year or about 33 cents per share in profit.  At a 6 times p/e that's a fair market value of about $2.

Oil was devastated the last 10 years so investors want proof this will last.  Too much negative sentiment that oil will go back to the $50 range with the variant.

All this nonsense about earnings won't make a difference because the market is ok with a p/e under 5 right now.

I honestly think it's going to take years with $65 plus oil to get reevaluated.  The 50 cent flash crash the last three weeks confirms this.  Until BTE proves quarter after quarter it's making money we are stuck with a low evaluation.  The market won't accept projections, they need to see what it actually is for years to come.  So even if oil averages $70 plus the next 6 months I don't expect much of a reevaluation.
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