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Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd T.TWM

Alternate Symbol(s):  TWMIF | T.TWM.DB.A

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd. is a diversified midstream and infrastructure company with an integrated value chain across North American natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, refined product, and renewable energy markets. The Company's operations include downstream facilities, natural gas processing facilities, NGLs infrastructure, pipelines, storage, and various renewable initiatives. It also markets crude, refined products, natural gas, NGLs and renewable products and services to customers across North America. Its key midstream assets include the Brazeau River Complex and Fractionation Facility (BRC), a full-service natural gas and NGL processing facility with natural gas storage pools, and the Ram River Gas Plant, a sour natural gas processing facility with sulfur handling solutions and rail connections. Its key downstream asset is the Prince George Refinery (PGR), the sole light oil refinery within the interior British Columbia market.


TSX:TWM - Post by User

Comment by Smokey1958on Jul 28, 2021 12:15pm
169 Views
Post# 33616973

RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Renewables IPO Timing - August + $585 million to TWM

RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Renewables IPO Timing - August + $585 million to TWMWhile very new to this stock I'm always a little concerned by those who post doomsday scenarios in one sentence. Your posts on the other stocks you follow seem to have the same theme. This is not to suggest you're wrong but a little evidence to back it up would be worthwhile.

TWM seems a reasonable mid term to longterm play based on analysts reports. Morningstar, which just recently augmented their algoritms to be much more conservative, has a Fair Value sp of $1.52 and a 1-star speculative valuation of $2.26 (over 80% higher than the current sp). Analysts from both CIBC and RBC have a target of $1.75 (albeit before the announcement of the spin-off). Barchart has a 56% BUY.

With a Dividend Yield of 3.1% and projected sp movement approaching somewhere between 20% to 35% ...as such it does not appear to have much downside risk. If the plan was to be holding a 5X bagger then I can see the concern. As an aside and for perspective I hold very speculative plays as well as blue chip stocks like Enbridge.

Any factual reason I should be concerned with TWM?

Cheers!!!

firstworld wrote: This corp is so corrupt if it was USA the csuite would be in prison for the next 150 years.
fauxtomato wrote:
Sold 100% at 1.29 same time. No regrets, just profits. GLTA. I'll see where the dust settles after the spin off ipo.  


Over the last several years of my TWM rollercoaster ride I've never wanted to be entirely out, it was always possible that a 'We're going private at a 30% premium' announcement would be around the corner. Now, with this spin off being so entangled in TWM's business that one day pay out seems less likely, but a slow grind higher seems more assured.

These footnotes man, I know there is a business here they're trying to build and need to plant some seeds, but:

Approximate anticipated Run Rate EBITDA from Acquired Assets is comprised of the following components; there are no other revenue generating contracts between Tidewater Midstream and Tidewater Renewables:
(a) PGR Tankage Assets & Interest— Tidewater Midstream has agreed to pay a monthly fee to Tidewater Renewables of $1.50 per barrel on 200,000 bbl/d of capacity
and assume any flow-through operating costs (equivalent to $3.6 million Run Rate EBITDA);
(b) PGR Truck & Rail Rack Interest — Tidewater Midstream has agreed to pay a fee to Tidewater Renewables of $0.75 per barrel on 10,000 bbls/d of capacity and assume any flow though operating costs (equivalent to $2.7 million Run Rate EBITDA);
(c) Unifiner Reactor Interest — Tidewater Midstream has agreed to pay a fee to Tidewater Renewables of $16.00 per barrel on 2,250 bbl/d of capacity and assume any flow though operating costs (equivalent to $13.1 million Run Rate EBITDA);
(d) Steam Methane Reformer — Tidewater Midstream has agreed to consume the hydrogen produced by the Steam Methane Reformer and in its overall refining process of approximately 4,000 mcf/d for a fee of approximately $6.45 per mcf and assume any flow though operating costs (equivalent to $9.4 million Run Rate EBITDA);
(e) Water Treatment & Electrical Facilities Interest — Tidewater Midstream has agreed to pay a fee to Tidewater Renewables for the Water Treatment & Electrical Facilities Interest of approximately $0.66 per barrel on 11,400 bbl/d of capacity and assume any flow-though operating costs (equivalent to $2.7 million Run Rate EBITDA); and
(f) Renewable Storage Reservoir Assets — Tidewater Renewables has agreed to receive contracted revenue from the Renewable Storage Reservoir as part of the Acquired Assets. Tidewater Midstream has agreed to pay a fee of approximately $1.40/mcf on 11,400 mcf/d for use of the storage reservoirs in addition to revenue Tidewater Renewables is expected to receive from its existing third-party gas storage customer, of approximately $2 million (aggregate equivalent to $8.1 million Run Rate EBITDA).

 




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