TSX:SRV.UN - Post by User
Comment by
nedstar71on Sep 13, 2021 2:05pm
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Post# 33849365
RE:RE:RE:RE:If you bought at $1.50...
RE:RE:RE:RE:If you bought at $1.50...I can't disagree I'm just concerned the current distibution may be masking some Covid related weakness in the undelying business. By the time it might become an issue business should have picked up enough so it isn't an issue. I went to the Jack Astors on Wellington St in London Friday and it wasn't as busy as I had hoped. As you say my position was small so take it for what it's worth.
BlueJay2020 wrote: Each to their own!
The SP was about $9.15 pre- the 28% dividend bump. It's up about 15% as I type since then, which I don't find extraordinary at all given that the SP for this type of stock is so tightly tied to the level of distribution.
Assuming the current distribution level of $1.08 represents 100% of earnings (which a restaurant royalty stock should roughly be over the long-term) that implies an earnings multiple of less than 10. That's by no means out of whack. And I have already said why I think material downside to the distribution is not a huge risk.
I still see 25% upside to SP from here, but it's quite understandable for dabblers to take the money and run at this point. A small position inherently communicates a lack of confidence in the stock - irrespective of what the SP is.
nedstar71 wrote: The action this is getting from that dividend bump is truly extraordinary. I didn't get in that low but did just sell the small position I had. To me upside is limited and I find it difficult to know what the actual sustainable dividend will be going forward. I fear less than stellar quarterly results may put some pressure on. Good luck all!