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Athabasca Oil Corp T.ATH

Alternate Symbol(s):  ATHOF

Athabasca Oil Corporation (AOC) is a Canadian energy company with a focused strategy on the development of thermal and light oil assets. AOC’s segments include Light Oil and Thermal Oil. The Thermal Oil segment includes the Company’s assets, liabilities and operating results for the exploration, development and production of bitumen from sand and carbonate rock formations located in the Athabasca region of Northern Alberta. It also consists of two operating oil sands steam assisted gravity drainage projects and a resource base of exploration areas in the Athabasca region of northeastern Alberta. The Light Oil segment includes its assets, liabilities and operating results for the exploration, development and production of light crude oil and medium crude oil, tight oil and conventional natural gas. Its Light Oil segment consists exclusively of the Duvernay in the Greater Kaybob area with about 155,000 gross acres across Kaybob West, Kaybob North, Kaybob East and Two Creeks.


TSX:ATH - Post by User

Comment by ManitobaCanuckon Oct 07, 2021 10:16pm
348 Views
Post# 33987167

RE:RE:RE:Refi Effect on SP

RE:RE:RE:Refi Effect on SPGood Thoughts here .
They could buyback 10% of the company with 55million  they have and reduce the dilution.
They should have had 150CAD  million left over after refinancing .
  

masfortuna wrote: And looking at the numbers again here are now the positives:

1.  They are now safe until 2026.
2.  A floor is now established at .94
3.  The warrants are cashless and will dilute based on when the holder will exercise. 
4.  They will have several million in excess cash which they could use to buyback shares (10% back would remove a good chunk of the dilution). 
5. With the fcf they will garner from oil at $75,  they could payback the debt in 3 years on their own and easily carry the 10% and leave some funds for a divy.

In conclusion, they had no choice to refi at whatever cost the lenders offered and unfortunately they are still in debt in an early phase of an energy bull run. If this refi was due in 2 years, they would have just paid it off on their own assuming energy will still be going strong.

So I guess it's not great but .94 is now the floor and I can see this increasing over the next 2-4 weeks to $1.20.
Just my opinion




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