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Baytex Energy Corp T.BTE

Alternate Symbol(s):  BTE

Baytex Energy Corp. is a Canada-based energy company. The Company is engaged in the acquisition, development and production of crude oil and natural gas in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and in the Eagle Ford in the United States. Its crude oil and natural gas operations are organized into three main operating areas: Light Oil USA (Eagle Ford), Light Oil Canada (Pembina Duvernay / Viking) and Heavy Oil Canada (Peace River / Peavine / Lloydminster). Its Eagle Ford assets are located in the core of the liquids-rich Eagle Ford shale in South Texas. The Eagle Ford shale covers approximately 269,000 gross acres of crude oil operations. Its Viking assets are located in the Dodsland area in southwest Saskatchewan and in the Esther area of southeastern Alberta. It also holds 100% working interest land position in the East Duvernay resource play in central Alberta.


TSX:BTE - Post by User

Post by BayStreetWolfTOon Oct 26, 2021 8:34am
141 Views
Post# 34048636

Tuesday Oct 26th - BTE morning update

Tuesday Oct 26th - BTE morning update

Topics: 1. Current Day FCF, 2. Yearly FCF, 3. WTI Trend, 4. Current Quarter Contracts, 5. Shareholder Strategic Focus.


1. Tue Oct 26th - BTE looking to bank another $2.0M+ FCF today

2. With fully factored hedges Free Cash Flow @ $84.05 & current pricing = $735+ million/year which is above the management plan. (Including a Clearwater estimate 100% unhedged!)


3. WTI is final for Q3. We are now on the Q4 / December Contracts. Not including improved hedges or Clearwater see historical trend below;

i. BTE Free Cash Flow Q1 = $70M avg WTI $52.09
ii. BTE Free Cash Flow Q2 = $112M avg WTI $62.71
iii BTE Free Cash Flow Q3 = $TBD avg WTI $70.57
iv. BTE Free Cash Flow Q4 = $TBD avg WTI $74.12 (so far)

4. Q4 contracts 73.6% complete.

5. Shareholder Strategic Focus. To BTE management. Keep doing what you're doing!

i. Focus on FCF!
ii. Pay down debt (down to $1.4b this year wow!) Clear off the 2024 note on June 1st 2022 as soon as the agreement allows.
iii. Buyback cheap shares complete a SIB not a NCIB (the cheaper the better)
iv. Issue a dividend
v. If Clearwater development can accelerate FCF, debt payment, share buybacks and dividends do it.
vi. Preferably in that order and keep within 80-85k bpd
vii. Ignore the share price focus on the enterprise strategy, operations, and efficiency.

With this you will find 100% support

Reference:
https://www.baytexenergy.com/files/pdf/corporate-handouts/2021/2021%20-%20October%20Presentation.pdf


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