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Athabasca Oil Corp T.ATH

Alternate Symbol(s):  ATHOF

Athabasca Oil Corporation (AOC) is a Canadian energy company with a focused strategy on the development of thermal and light oil assets. AOC’s segments include Light Oil and Thermal Oil. The Thermal Oil segment includes the Company’s assets, liabilities and operating results for the exploration, development and production of bitumen from sand and carbonate rock formations located in the Athabasca region of Northern Alberta. It also consists of two operating oil sands steam assisted gravity drainage projects and a resource base of exploration areas in the Athabasca region of northeastern Alberta. The Light Oil segment includes its assets, liabilities and operating results for the exploration, development and production of light crude oil and medium crude oil, tight oil and conventional natural gas. Its Light Oil segment consists exclusively of the Duvernay in the Greater Kaybob area with about 155,000 gross acres across Kaybob West, Kaybob North, Kaybob East and Two Creeks.


TSX:ATH - Post by User

Comment by Rational43on Nov 06, 2021 12:32pm
221 Views
Post# 34095845

RE:2022 WCS hedges

RE:2022 WCS hedgesGood point.  

Right now WCS is trading at $62, so these hedges are only $7 to $8 below market.  

I don't know of any other company that has their hedges for '22 so close to the market at this stage.  

Second, as good as the quarter was, they realized $28M of hedge losses in the quarter, on hedges $25 below the market.  That's pure FCF out the door since they are non taxable.  
When those hedges roll off, and the new hedges are getting the same price for WCS that the old ones got for WTI another big pick up will occur.

$600M FCF over next three years at $70WTI.  $130M per year more at $80 WTI, which would be:
$990M FCF at $80
Net Debt ~ $200M CAD at year end, and $500M Market Cap. 

Any other companies with a 30 year RLI that can generate > Enterprise value in Free Cash Flow in the next three years?

If you know of any, please let me know! 
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