RE:RE:Catalysts for the stock ....So let me get this straight:
When the price is high, you like it and feel it better reflects "actual value" (however you may define it), but when the price is low you feel it is not reflective of actual value.
Yet in a separate sentence you argue that share price and actual value are not always the same. But you only apply that logic to one share price (the low one) and not the other.
So how do you know the share price today is any more disconnected from actual value than it was when it was twice today's price ?
Here is where your logic breaks down:
Months ago the share price was around $1.80. You like that because it is high, so you feel it reflected actual value at the time. I have not seen any analysis from you otherwise that involves any sort of valuation calculations.
But today the price is half that and you feel that because the company has made progress in the past several months the current share price therefore can't be reflective of actual value because it is lower than when it was twice as high and the company had not yet accomplished what it has today.
The flaw in your reasoning is that months ago the "actual value" may have been far far below the $1.80 share price (eg: $0.50) and the temporary rise to $1.80 was a short term abberation brought on by demand for the stock exceeding supply. So then even if you say the stock is worth double today what it was worth then, that takes you to $1.00 today, using my example price above. Still below the price of $1.80 from months ago.
You see, the very logic that is driving you to attack the "true value" of today's share price is equally applicable to the past $1.80 share price, a fact you conveniently ignore because it would cause you to re-examine a high price that you like much better than today's lower price.
So what do you think would be a share price that would accurately reflect "actual value" today ?
And why do you think so ? Interested in your thoughts, as I'm sure many readers of this board are as well :)
Also, please refrain from personal attacks or name calling, as it greatly diminishes the persuasiveness of your argument and contributes to the degradation of civility on this board.
canon12345 wrote: My thoughts on your post.
1 You ask what has the market not priced in?
Well the stock was twice the price it is now, what was priced in then and what has occured after to drive the price down to current levels?
2 You are assuming that the market is somehow reflecting correctly all info available and that markets are reflective of actual value?
3 If you are sugeesting that somehow the stock price is reflective of actual value I would disagree and say it is far more valuable now then it was at its all time high.