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Quarterhill Inc T.QTRH

Alternate Symbol(s):  QTRHF | T.QTRH.DB

Quarterhill Inc. is a Canada-based company, which is engaged in providing of tolling and enforcement solutions in the intelligent transportation system (ITS) industry. The Company is focused on the acquisition, management and growth of companies that provide integrated, tolling and mobility systems and solutions to the ITS industry as well as its adjacent markets. The Company’s solutions include congestion charging, performance management, insights & analytics, analytics, toll interoperability, mobility marketplace, maintenance, e-screening, tire anomaly detection, multi-modal data, intersection management, and others. Its tolling includes roadside technologies, commerce and mobility platforms, audit and enforcement, and tolling services. Its safety and enforcement comprise commercial vehicles, automated enforcement, freight mobility, smart transportation, and data solutions. The Company’s wholly owned subsidiary is International Road Dynamics Inc.


TSX:QTRH - Post by User

Comment by cabbieJBJon Nov 26, 2021 5:06pm
234 Views
Post# 34170904

RE:Wilan 4 Yr Average Gross Margin Means Sell Wilan subsidiary

RE:Wilan 4 Yr Average Gross Margin Means Sell Wilan subsidiaryShareholders, a deeper analysis indicates that a licensing business fire sale is not warranted.

The licensing segment gross margin fluctuates dramatically, which is not surprising given the lumpiness of revenues.  I went back to 2015 which provides 2 full years pre ITS.  In addition, since the 2015 - 2018 the finacnials break out the below the line items you talked about in your post, this allows a reasonably estimate of EBITDA for the licensing segment.

Using your 1.25 USD:CAD conversion, Gross profit (and %) by year was reported as follows:

$000's
2015  $40,569  (31.6%)
2016  $35,956  (31.0%)
2017  $88,959  (70.7%)
2018  $-8,410   (-32.3%)
2019  $53,922  (50.8%)
2020  $32,055  (41.0%)
2021 (9 Mos)  $4,973  (23.7%)

Selling/admin/R&D expenses were reported fro 2015 - 2018, as folows:

$000's
2015  $12,365
2016  $12,243
2017  $8,113
2018  $3,245

2017 represents a partial year implementation of cost reductions identified in the strategic review with the full impact realized in 2018.   I've asked QTRH for a current range which can be applied to 2019 and forward.  For now, I've used $5,000 annual cost for selling/admin/R&D expenses in the licensing segment.

The annual average estimated EBITDA for the licensing segment over the last 7 years is $28,387 (32.6%).  By year, as follows:

$000's
2015  $28,204  (31.6%)
2016  $23,713  (31.0%)
2017  $80,846  (70.7%)
2018  $-11,658  (-32.3%)
2019  $48,922  (50.8%)
2020  $27,055  (41.0%)
2021 (9 Mos)  $1,223  (23.7%)

Since most licensed IP is based on the partnership model with contingent legal representaion, opex costs for the licensing are minimized.

Key questions:
  1. Is 2021 an outlier (as was 2018) - and on what, other that retrospective analysis, is that based;
  2. Will the partnership model continue to be the finacnial arranegment of choice for patent holders who wish to monetize their IP; and
  3. Will minimal licensing opex be maintained?
If the answer to these questions is, "Yes" then it is reasonable to assume that the Wilan sub will provide, on average, $25M to $30M per year in funding for ITS. 

This is not the dire picture your post presents shareholders.  A fire sale is not warranted.  As I strongly believe that any divestiture decision pivots on two key factors:
  1. The available ITS opportunities and their cost; and
  2. An assessment of forward forward acquisition costs
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