So…
If the in vivo study began on or before October 15th, the NIH, Gilead, and Matinas know whether the primary endpoint was achieved. This is a genetically modified mouse study. Realistically speaking, they would know whether it works or not by day 15. Day 28 just gives them a complete picture. There would be sick mice, dead mice, and mice that were discharged from the lab because LNC oral remdesivir reduced or eliminated their symptoms.
Here is some speculation:
1. LNC remdesivir works. The in vivo data was similar to or better than the in vitro study. Gilead knows this. The NIH knows this. Matinas knows this, especially James Ferguson who needs to work on his poker face.
2. Gilead is being extremely careful in how they present this data given the evolving landscape of Covid-19 treatments and the previous shunning of remdesivir by the WHO.
3. It’s possible that LNC oral remdesivir works too well and they’re scrambling with how to deal with supply and distribution issues. Remember the movie Contagion? The doctor that was kidnapped and ransomed for vaccines? That could happen in the real world except instead of vaccine shipments being hijacked it’s LNC oral remdesivir. Especially if Covid-19 mutates into an Omega variant.