'Non-scientific' expected 4th quarter revenues of...... 1.9B (if we reach aircraft delivery target) and 6.1 for 2021.
Here's where it comes from:
If anyone notices mistakes or want to add something please feel free to throw in you two cents.
I've average revenue per aircraft delivered for the firt 3 quarters and here's what I got:
1st: 1.04B revenues for 26 aircrafts = 0.04B per aircraft (40 millions) + 0.26B rev for aftermarket
2nd: 1.215B revenues for 29 aircrafts = 0.042B per aircraft (42 millions) + 0.285B for aftermarket
3rd: 1.106B revenues for 27 aircrafts = 0.041B per aircraft (41 millions) + 0.294B for aftermarket
Taking into account the revenue per aircraft in each quarter I've estimated the average price for the 4th quarter to be at least the highest we've seen so it's 42 millions
Estimated 4th: 1.596B revenues for 38 aircrafts = 0.042 per aircraft (42 millions) + 0.304B for aftermarket (around 10 millions increase like the 3rd quarter)
So with Bomber's 1.3B, 1.5B and 1.4B from the first 3 quarters plus 'my' 1.9B 4th I get a 2021 revenue of 6.1B... looks a bit small, was I bit too cautious with my numbers or did I miss something?
Note: I haven't ventured to extrapolate on how many large vs smaller aircraft exported for each quarter so I've average.
GLTAL