RE:How much could be a buyout?OakTreeforest39 wrote: Any guess?
1 or 2 billion?? More ...less?
i think GA already talk about that in comparison with it's former success!
thanks
If this is a serious question, and not just something to prompt speculation to fuel excitement about the stock, to pump up the price, then there are established approaches to value a company like this:
1. Multiple of capital EBI TDA. This does require revenue however, and ventrapoint does not have any operational revenue at this point-the only cash coming in is from financing's
2. Valuation pre-revenue for a startup
Now on this board, the typical approach is to simply pick a number out of the air like 100 million, I billion, 2 billion etc. however, there has been no basis for this other than "I think I heard this on a video mention by George", or "another company went for this so"…
Speaking of this approach, 1 of the videos did mention the buyout by TomTech, for around 100 million, which would if you took these numbers put VPT buy out at around 60 cents, given that the dilution has now had a doubling of shares since that time(and yes dilution most definitely matters)
On this thread, jopumper, took an unrelated company, made an assumption about how much it was worth based on a recent financing, and added a 60% premium without any basis at all.
One of the caveats in making these kinds of comparisons, is you are assuming that the company you are comparing to, has similar characteristics as VPT has. In this case, it was not all the case as the company, CARDIOLOGS, that was brought out, had 20 million customers, whereas VPT is giving out machines and how many PAYING customers that they have?
Still this type of approach can be used, and the kind of factors you look at include:
A. Number of users (Is it really 25 "placements")
B. |Stage of the company
C. Margins
D. Competition risk (patent gone from UWash-so its just the database\)
D. Management
E. Laaunchplan etc. etc. etc.
There are models to do this like the Berkus method, cost to duplicate, and many others, but my take is that this board really is not interested in deep dives on methods or data.
So just go ahead and pick a number!