RE:Large cap/ mid smallcapHi Jmann, to be honest I would have to do some good due diligence on the large caps to give you a good answer....but really my point is why.
1. Guys like Nutall CAN'T play all risk....they need SOME "safer" (notice I didn't say "safe") money on energy...I feel some investors feel they also should follow him.
2. From my perspective...if someone feels this is a long-term bull oil market....small and mid cap has by far the largest upside. Smaller market cap stocks I feel will do better based on multiple metrics of course.
3. If I want a divy my banks etc are good. However I much prefer capital gains on my fun money...you don't get rich off dividends
4. People I feel have this idea that large cap oil companies are "safe money"....if you have been around the block you know this is NOT true. This is why my "safe" money is NOT in large cap oil.
Food for thought.... During a worldwide major event Jan 2020 to Mar 2020
Suncor dropped from $45 CAD to $16 CAD (holding 35% of your value)
BMO dropped from $101 CAD to $62 CAD (holding 62% of your value)
IF the price war continued BMO would be fine...SU would not have recovered. Therefore I feel if I'm going to risk on commodities SU does NOT give me the upside for the risk downside. Large cap oil for me is a false sense of security. The truth is large cap oil offers NO protection
My main argument/feeling against large cap oil $60-$80 oil....small/mid cap is better than large cap
<$60 my banks will do better than large cap oil
so why would I buy large cap oil??
I also am not worried about day to day swings...I look to the trend from a
3-5 year perspective...
1. I have confidence in the long-term bullish thesis
2. I want the best return possible
3. I don't report to anyone (outside of my wife LOL)
4. In a 5+ year bull run I believe large cap will NOT outperform small cap on a % basis (again depending on multiple metrics incl. mgmt team, properties, operations etc)
So just my personal opinion and no recommendation why would I hold large caps...to limit my upside on a higher risk sector? To me that doesn't make any sense
PEOPLE COMPLAIN ABOUT HEDGES AND THAN BUY SU? You could argue SU is a hedge against downside risk....that is exactly what you are doing!
NOW....if I was 30 sure maybe I would split it all in energy
Large Cap 25%
Mid Cap 25%
Small Cap 50%
BUT..I have yet to find a time machine LOL
Again this is only my opinion and not advice....and I'm sure some might disagree
jmaan wrote: As Eric nuttell says the money growth is in small & mid caps, but if you're planning on holding any large cap for the very Long term and just collect the divedend, might be not bad idea cause these Large cap's most likely will lead the way and have the financial means to fund what ever green solution we come out with! I guess time will tell.