The days of ENS trading at a premium may be overSplits typically trade at a discount to the NAV and ENS has been the exception.
If ENS was going to trade at a premium to the NAV it should have happened last week as ENS went ex-dividend on Friday and some investors hunt for dividends. That didn't happen as ENS actually under performed versus ENB and by Thursday, ENS started trading at a small discount to the NAV.
At the time of writing (12:36pm Tuesday Feb 1) the Real Time NAV is $15.16 while the share price of ENS is $15.01 which means once again today, ENS is trading at a discount to the NAV. It will be interesting to see what ENS does after ENB goes ex-dividend.
If ENS no longer trades at a premium to the NAV, the potential for Middlefied to do additional raises disappears. That eliminates the possibility of Middlefield increasing the NAV by raising money when the win on the premium to the NAV for the raise exceeds the cost of the raise. That means ENS shareholders will be stuck with absorbing the costs of owning ENS which I expect will be about $0.56 per share in 2022.
Two things can happen to cover the carrying cost of ENS:
1) ENS trades at a 4% discount to the NAV to compensate for the carrying cost
2) ENB shares have to increase by 2.5% over the year (2.5% * 1.6 = 4%)
Given that ENS yields about 4% more than ENB, I can't see the discount for ENS ever becoming significant unless the market turns negative on ENB, in which case the leverage multiple becomes a negative.
Over time, as ENB continues to increase its dividend, the annual cost of owning ENS will go down and eventually not be a factor. ENB's dividend will have to increase by about $1 in order to eliminate the annual cost of owning ENS because each ENS unit only owns about 1/2 a share of ENB.
I think I'm done posting on this board now. I wanted to learn about Splits and specifically the ENS split. I think it is worthwhile to share information without an agenda because that is why I participate on Stockhouse. I hope you have enjoyed reading about my journey.
GLTA