580 million cost of Oil Hedges 2022 if prices holdIf this price hang in for 2022, this is the potential ARX has for its Risk Management Program.
Risk Management Cost, Oil only (Swaps and Ceiling Prices as Per Jan Presentation)
Oil SWAP $46.90
$46.90 10479 boe/day
92.50 - 46.90 = 45.60
45.60/.78*10479*365 = 224 million dollars
Oil Ceiling $60.52
$60.52 23767 boe/day
92.50- 60.52 =31.98
31.98/.78*23767*365 = 356 million dollars
580 million dollars in Oil hedges, with no new hedges put in place back on Jan presentation.
So, these are just the Risk Management Costs (Just Oil), I am sure they can accomplish the same risk manage objectives with gas. We will have to see.
Oil (580 million loss) + Gas (420 million loss) = 1 Billion loss Risk Management
1 Billion Projected Risk Management (Gain/Loss) if Prices Hang in.
Risk management in ARX case is a Loss.
This is real cash, if it were not a risk management loss it would be Free Cash Flow, because all the expenses to produce their boe, still need to be paid by the producer.
IMHO