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FormerXBC Inc XEBEQ

Xebec Adsorption Inc designs, engineers, and manufactures products that are used for purification, separation, dehydration, and filtration equipment for gases and compressed air. The company operates in three reportable segments: Systems, Corporate and other, and Support. Its product lines are natural gas dryers for natural gas refueling stations, compressed gas filtration, biogas purification, associated gas, engineering services, and air dryers. The company's geographical segments are United States, Canada, China, Other, Korea, Italy, and France.


GREY:XEBEQ - Post by User

Post by tamaracktopon Feb 08, 2022 8:02am
245 Views
Post# 34407761

Strategizing

StrategizingHere's how I'd play this, if I was inclined to try to "time the market"

This stock has made virtually insignificant higher lows for two weeks now, 
and is still trading below book value.

We are now 5 weeks from earnings.

The chances of an earth-shattering development that knocks the stock lower prior to
earnings are so low as to be virtually nil.

Gan wrote: 

  "Patience is needed and if I had to venture a guess we will bounce around here until         Q4 is released"

I disagree completely. The market will know beforehand if the results are likely 
to be good, and if so, the stock will rally accordingly prior to earnings.

If I owned Xebec at much higher prices, and if I had real money I could spare for a few weeks, I'd buy stock here and average down my ACB.

If the stock does indeed rally substantially before the news, I would keep the new shares because there is a downside "cushion."

If the stock doesn't rally, I'd sell the new shares at a capital loss (using your new lower ACB) , and I'd have that loss to carry forward indefinitely as well as having a new lower
ACB on my remaining shares.

Hypothetically, if you sell your newly acquired shares ten of twenty cents above their cost, the excercise won't have cost you a penny, but youll still have a capital loss to carry forward and you've reduced your ACB on your remaining shares as well as having positioned yourself for a greater and faster gain if the numbers are good.

If you believe the downside at today's price is very limited, the risk/reward in this approach is compelling.

You have $20,000 in your chequing account, you take it out and buy 10,000 Xebec.
If it doesn't work, you sell the Xebec and put the $20 grand back in your chequing account.

If it does work, you have 10m more shares of Xebec at a sharply lower ACB for your all of your shares.



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