From Celsius Energy (Real Time Estimated Data)

Five Year Average 2099
Current Estimate   1835

Difference from 5 year average 2099 - 1835 = 264

Percent Difference 264 / 2099 = .125 * 100 = % 12.5 Below 5 yr Average


Great Lakes frozen or very cold.

https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nh_snowcover/

No shield now from late season cold snaps for Northeast US until things warm up in April. Some of the best natural price gas rallies in yesrs past happened in spring. The market will react fast if inventories fail to get some decent  builds in April/May or a late cold snap in occurs in March. IMO

Natural gas chart shows slight resistance at $4.56 - if that breaks it may go to $5.00
before dropping again with forecasted late Feb. warm-up.