RE:CIBCHmmm...The upside scenario is a 21% increase over the base case, while the downside scenario is a 50% decrease from the base case. I guess that says that if couche tard falters, it will be more a spectacular fail than if they over achieve. I guess the projections don't take into account the likelihood of each scenario happening, which would make them more useful in an investment context. Because if you believe each scenario projection to have an equal likelihood of occurring, I'm not sure that couche tard would be a good investment in this context.
Having confused myself throughly, I'm going to walk the dog to clear my head.
BBB