RE:Share Price Matters!Some further analysis: With the caveat that some reasonable assumptions have been made where inputs are not available and or market penetration figures are variable. A further caveat is that I have never reviewed an analyst report and I have no idea what his own valuation model looks like.
Lets combine my NPV with that of the analyst using his $1.20 share price discounted back a full 12 months with an IRR of 11% without a financial calculator and in its most basic valuation calculation to determine an NPV.
Analyst Current NPV of roughly $1.07/share
My determined NPV (using some assumptions) - $3.46/share
Avererage Current SP - $2.26 share assuming a 30% probability of success
If company could achieve one third of this valuation prior to the next dilutive raise it would reduce dilution substantially. You can figure out the number. It’s your money.
Share Price Matters And Share Price First