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Theralase Technologies Inc. V.TLT

Alternate Symbol(s):  TLTFF

Theralase Technologies Inc. is a Canada-based clinical-stage pharmaceutical company. The Company is engaged in the research and development of light activated compounds and their associated drug formulations. The Company operates through two divisions: Anti-Cancer Therapy (ACT) and Cool Laser Therapy (CLT). The Anti-Cancer Therapy division develops patented, and patent pending drugs, called Photo Dynamic Compounds (PDCs) and activates them with patent pending laser technology to destroy specifically targeted cancers, bacteria and viruses. The CLT division is responsible for the Company’s medical laser business. The Cool Laser Therapy division designs, develops, manufactures and markets super-pulsed laser technology indicated for the healing of chronic knee pain. The technology has been used off-label for healing numerous nerve, muscle and joint conditions. The Company develops products both internally and using the assistance of specialist external resources.


TSXV:TLT - Post by User

Comment by ScienceFirston May 03, 2022 12:45pm
227 Views
Post# 34651507

RE:Valuation

RE:Valuation

One much easier way is to look at the deals that have been done over the recent years, in oncology and assess at what level they were (stand alone drugs, adjuvants to others, etc ...), the size of their markets, etc ....

For example, in the following link, the lowest of the 10 deals is at 2B$:

The top 10 biopharma M&A deals in 2021


And among these 10 examples, there's one that is very interesting as it indicates that Merck is already planning few years ahead of its Keytruda blockbuster loss of revenues and that Merck is not even waiting the end of a Ph. 3 to make a move a pay 11.5B$US for a future candidate

So that's why I say a jv for TLT would not wait for the Breakthrough designation.  


Merck & Co.-Acceleron

Merck & Co and Acceleron  
Deal value: $11.5 billion 
Premium: 34% to the stock's Aug. 31 closing price 
Date announced:Sept. 30, 2021 

Merck & Co's $11.5 billion takeover of Acceleron Pharma was not only one of the largest M&A deals of the year, but also one of the most contentious. Merck finally got it over the line in November despite opposition from rebel investors. 

Merck broke cover on its intentions in September after several days of speculation among industry watchers that the Pennsylvania-based drugmaker was ready to make a play for Acceleron. The idea was that Acceleron would add another arrow to Merck's quiver of late-stage candidates as it prepares for the loss of patent protection on cash cow Keytruda (pembrolizumab) later this decade. 

And indeed, the main target of the takeover was sotatercept, Acceleron’s lead clinical candidate. It's a potential first-in-class therapy for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) that some analysts think could become a $2 billion to $3 billion product.  

The drug—which could potentially address PAH's underlying disease process, while approved treatments target symptoms by dilating blood vessels—is in phase 3 trials that, if positive, may support regulatory approvals in 2024. 

The $180-per-share deal also gave Merck ownership of already-marketed therapy Reblozyl (luspatercept) for anemia associated with the blood disorders beta-thalassemia and myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). That drug is sold by Bristol Myers Squibb, rumored to have made its own play for Acceleron, only to be outbid by Merck. The drug delivered sales of $400 million in the first nine months of 2021. 

BMS will pay low- to mid-20% royalties to Merck based on Reblozyl sales now that Acceleron is in Merck's stable.  

Data that could extend Reblozyl's market to include non-transfusion-dependent (NTD) thalassemia patients as well as those reliant on transfusions—plus a potential move into front-line MDS therapy—has some analysts predicting peak sales for the drug of $4 billion or more.  

Some of Acceleron's shareholders pushed back against the transaction, arguing that it offered a premium significantly lower than previous deals within the sector and significantly undervalued the company. It should be delayed until after the FDA completes its review of sotatercept as an add-on therapy for PAH, the investors argued. 

Meanwhile, Merck has billed the deal as a way to rebuild its cardiovascular portfolio, which once boasted products like cholesterol-lowering drugs Zetia (ezetimibe) and Vytorin (ezetimibe and simvastatin) until they were spun off along with the drugmaker's Organon unit. 

And the deal was pushed through despite concerns that it may fall foul of antitrust regulations in the U.S. because Merck already has a drug for PAH—Adempas (riociguat), partnered with Bayer—and is developing an inhaled follow-up called MK-5475, which is now in phase 2/3 trials. 

RELATED: It's a wrap: Merck collects enough Acceleron shares for $11.5B buyout despite activist investor defiance

Merck had to refile the premerger notification with the FTC in November to allow the agency additional time for review, but eventually closed the deal on Nov. 22. 

After years of relying heavily on its in-house R&D engine to fill its pipeline, Merck has latterly been much more willing to look for external candidates. That effort has gathered momentum as it looks to reduce its reliance on Keytruda, which appears set to approach $17 billion in sales this year. 

Acceleron wasn't Merck's only big deal for 2021, either. It came after a $1.85 billion deal for immunotherapy specialist Pandion Therapeutics, just under the threshold needed for inclusion in this list. 

Merck has used some of its Keytruda proceeds to make other big deals in the last couple of years, including 2020's $2.75 billion takeover of antibody-drug conjugate company VelosBio and 2019's purchase of Peloton Therapeutics and its oncology pipeline for $2.2 billion. 


 

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