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Baytex Energy Corp T.BTE

Alternate Symbol(s):  BTE

Baytex Energy Corp. is a Canada-based energy company. The Company is engaged in the acquisition, development and production of crude oil and natural gas in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and in the Eagle Ford in the United States. Its crude oil and natural gas operations are organized into three main operating areas: Light Oil USA (Eagle Ford), Light Oil Canada (Pembina Duvernay / Viking) and Heavy Oil Canada (Peace River / Peavine / Lloydminster). Its Eagle Ford assets are located in the core of the liquids-rich Eagle Ford shale in South Texas. The Eagle Ford shale covers approximately 269,000 gross acres of crude oil operations. Its Viking assets are located in the Dodsland area in southwest Saskatchewan and in the Esther area of southeastern Alberta. It also holds 100% working interest land position in the East Duvernay resource play in central Alberta.


TSX:BTE - Post by User

Post by Chrisinvan7on Jun 23, 2022 4:36pm
325 Views
Post# 34778532

Reality Check

Reality CheckI had a call at lunch with my parents who are in their 60's to talk them off the ledge.. For context, they're in their 60's and hold approximately 55,000 shares @ an avg of ~$2.70ish, I'm in my 30's and hold 45,000 at an avg of ~$1.60ish. I got into this investment in 2014 (they in 2016) and so I reminded them why we did so: severe under investment in new supply, structural defecit in supply, increasing energy demand, government hostitlity towards expanding supply, renewables unable to meet energy demand, etc.

It was obvious to me at the time that government plicy was leading us down an inflationary path to which the end game would be a sovereign currency crisis and that our plan was to ride oil into the $200's and use our dividends from E&P's to buy gold and silver, then ultimately real estate following the eventual interest rate induced housing crash (assuming central planners decided to defend the currency rather than submit to hyper inflation). Well here we are in 2022, I must admit it's taken much longer than I anticipated, but the path remains much intact. I reminded them that everything is going to plan, we knew it would be a bumpy road, but that we'll get to the destination. I had to remind my dad that two weeks ago he was ready too dumping another $50K into BTE because he thought $14 by summer end was inevitable (I advised caution), to which I reminded my mom how much she loves buying stuff on sale and they just got  a 40% hair cut on what they wanted so badly just two weeks ago.

My point is, everyone needs to remind themselves why they got into this trade in the begining, ask themselves has anything fundamentally changed (other than price) and if not, no need to panic. The day to day really is just noise. Those two weeks where we shot up 50% were admittingly very fun, but it wasn't realistic. 

As BSW says, focus on debt, focus on buybacks and with WTI at or near these levels at this time next year, the SP will figure itself out.
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