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Veren Inc T.VRN

Alternate Symbol(s):  VRN

Veren Inc. is a Canada-based oil producer with assets in central Alberta and southeast and southwest Saskatchewan. The principal activities of the Company are acquiring, developing and holding interests in petroleum and natural gas properties and assets related thereto through a general partnership and wholly owned subsidiaries. Its core operational areas include Kaybob Duvernay and Alberta Montney, Shaunavon and Viewfield Bakken. Its Kaybob Duvernay is situated in the heart of the condensate rich fairway, Central Alberta, which provides low risk drilling inventory. Its Alberta Montney assets sit adjacent to its Kaybob Duvernay lands, possessing similar resource characteristics including pay thickness and permeability in the volatile oil fairway of the reservoir. Its Shaunavon resource play is located in southwest Saskatchewan. The Viewfield Bakken light oil pool is located in Saskatchewan.


TSX:VRN - Post by User

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Post by MadeInHeavenon Jul 17, 2022 3:06pm
400 Views
Post# 34829953

Arbitrage CPG

Arbitrage CPGThe below is possible only if the market price in special dividend or increase of dividend, large buyback etc.. "The first,Crescent Point Group(CPG) offers a potential upside of 18.6% by selling one-month forward covered calls at a strike price that is out of the money. And this does not even include the dividend income. Crescent Point Group (CPG)is an oil and gas producer in Western Canada and in the U.S. (North Dakota and Minnesota). The company is now very profitable and earnings per share (EPS) this year are forecast to hit $2.86. This puts the stock on a forward P/E multiple of 2.3x. However, next year analysts forecast that with projected lower oil and gas prices, its earnings will fall. They now see EPS declining 40% to $1.76. However, even if that happens, the resulting higher P/E multiple is just 3.9x. That is still incredibly inexpensive. So that might now mean the stock will take a hit and in fact, it could be relatively stable. Moreover, the stock also pays an annual dividend of 24.52 cents per share, giving the investor an annual yield of 3.76%. In fact, the company recently just raised the dividend. All this makes CPG stock, at $6.65 per share, a reasonably good candidate for an out-of-the-money play. Here's why. For $2000, we can actually buy 300 shares (i.e., $1,995) and then sell 3 out-of-the-money covered call options. Let's look at that. The Barchart option chain below shows that the Aug. 19 call options offer the $7.50 strike price calls at 38 cents at the midpoint. CPG - Call options for Aug 19, 2022 - Barchart - As of July 15, 2022 Here is what that means. We can sell 3 covered call options at the $7.50 strike price and immediately receive $38 per call contract, or $114.00, less any commissions. That is a very good income, since we only paid $1,995 for the underlying stock, effectively a monthly return of 5.714%. These monthly options can be repeated, so the theoretical annual return is 68.57%. This assumes the stock does not immediately rise to the $7.50 strike price by Aug. 19 or earlier. But even if it does, the investor collects the capital gain, which will be 12.78% (i.e., $7.50/6.65 cost), or $2,250-1,995 = $255. So the total return, even without the dividends will be 18.49% (12.78% + 5.71%). In other words, the investor collects $255, plus the $114 from the covered calls, or $369. This is a return of 18.49% on the investor's cost of $1,995"
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