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Taseko Mines Ltd T.TKO

Alternate Symbol(s):  TGB

Taseko Mines Limited is a Canada-based copper focused mining company. The Company's principal assets are the 100% owned Gibraltar mine (Gibraltar), which is located in central British Columbia and is one of the largest copper mines in North America and the Florence Copper project, which is under construction. The Company also owns the Yellowhead copper, New Prosperity gold-copper, and Aley niobium projects. The Florence Copper project is located south of Phoenix in the community of Florence, Arizona. The Yellowhead Project is located in the Thompson-Nicola region of British Columbia, approximately 150 kilometers (km) northeast of Kamloops near the town of Vavenby. The Aley niobium project is located in northeast British Columbia. The New Prosperity property is located in south-central British Columbia and hosts one of the most significant copper and gold deposits in Canada. It is also located in an area of cultural significance to the Tsilhqot'in Nation, known as Teztan Biny and Nabas.


TSX:TKO - Post by User

Post by JCSunsfanon Aug 10, 2022 7:59pm
233 Views
Post# 34886852

Looking ahead

Looking aheadSo.  Let's just assume that the permit comes and Florence get's built and runs at full capacity.  What kind of income generation would that be and what type of market cap should that generate?

BTW.  All USD amounts here. 

The mining world seems to run between a 7 and 10 multiple for a PE.  It's lower than most industries, but dems the berries.

Let's assume a $4/lb copper price.  Don't want to be too optimistic or pessimistic.

Florence is projected to produce 80 million pounds of pure copper cathode per year at a C1 of $1.10.  That is $232 million per year EBITDA.

Gibralter is projected to produce 120 million pounds per year at a c1 of $2.50 or so. That is probably to optimistic.  Let's call it $2.75. That is $150 million per year EBITDA.  Of course, Gib is only 75% owned by Taseko so that drops to $112 million.  (You see what a difference Florence is).

Assume other costs will eat up $100 million or so per year.  Maybe more.  You do your own guessing. That would result in $244 million per year earnings.  At a 7 PE that would be a market cap of $1.708 billion and at a 10 PE of $2.44 billion. 

I think these numbers are very conservative.  Present market cap is $332 million.  

Conclusion.  Finished Florence should produce somewhere between 5 and 7 bags in SP.




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