Jackie chan A Special Market Observation
Jack Chan
Posted Sep 13, 2022
The past few months have been brutal for gold stocks, as relentless selling has driven prices down to bargain levels. How bad is it?
It is bad.
But it is also good.
Lets look at the top three mining companies:
NEM – the largest gold mining company has dropped 50% in just four months, one cannot help but feel extremely bearish at this point.
But don’t.
Anytime when a sound and solid company in any sector takes a 50% haircut, it is time to buy, not sell.
Barrick gold has also dropped 50% since topping two years ago.
Notice the previous correction from 2016 to 2018 also lost about 50%.
AEM – has also lost 50% from two years ago.
Previous correction from 2016 to 2018 lost 45%.
$HUI – our bench mark for gold stocks, is currently sitting at a 50% loss from the 2020 top. Previous correction from 2016 to 2018 also lost 50%.
GDX – sitting at a 45% loss from the 2020 top.
Previous correction from 2016 to 2018 also lost 45%.
Summary
Since gold stocks reaching a major bottom in 2015, there’s been two corrections.
Each correction has a duration of exactly two years, except for NEM.
Each correction has resulted in a 45 to 50% loss in the three major companies, the $HUI, and also GDX.
Folks, these top gold producing companies are not meme stocks, at 50% discount, is it time to sell, or time to buy?
You make the call.
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Sep 3, 2022
Jack Chan