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Obsidian Energy Ltd T.OBE

Alternate Symbol(s):  OBE

Obsidian Energy Ltd. is a Canada-based exploration and production company. The Company operates in one segment, to explore for, develop and hold interests in oil and natural gas properties and related production infrastructure in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin directly and through investments in securities of subsidiaries holding such interests. It has a portfolio of assets producing around 35,700 barrels of oil equivalent (boe) per day. Its operating areas include Cardium, Peace River and Viking areas of Alberta. Its Cardium asset is a fully delineated and de-risked asset. It is focused on manufacturing repeatable low-decline and high-netback light-oil wells across its Cardium land base. The Viking is a light oil, horizontal development play located in central Alberta. Its operations are focused on the Esther area. Peace River is a stable, cold-flow, base production asset. It operates on a contiguous and an acreage within the heart of the Peace River Oilsands region.


TSX:OBE - Post by User

Post by JohnJBondon Sep 24, 2022 11:17am
266 Views
Post# 34984080

None

None

The US fed has lowered the price of oil in the US

How?

The fed didn't increase the supply of oil

By lowering the price it may have increased demand - I say May because the price doesn't seem to much impact on consumption.   (It impacts how you feel when you filling up)

Some claim the fed may cause a recession in the future, which may reduce consumption.     If true then the future price of oil should be cheaper - ie 6-12 month futures should of declined

Instead all futures prices declined - with the current month taking the biggest hit.   

That's the opposite of logical.    No change in unemployment today but the price of oil declined 5 ish percent 

That 5% decline ought to mean lower gas and diesel prices 

Seens more like a knee jerk negative cascade than a logical change from increased supply and/or reduced demand

Oil prices fall which causes another knee jerk fall in oil based ETFs

ETFs sell off which causes the share price of the companies held in those ETFs to fall

Most of those companies are hedged against the fall in WTI prices.    Most of the loss from the drop in oil prices is being taken by the financial firms on the other side of those hedges - and their share prices didn't suffer nearly as much  

Interesting watching it all happen 

A bunch of people panicking because they apparently think lower prices means less consumption - which will lead to even lower prices.    That's Alice in Wonderland logic

Of course that's not why they sold the prices lower.    They did so because the person beside them was doing so, and they didn't want to get left behind 

Once they think about what they just did, I suspect they'll undo it

If they don't, I suspect OPEC will step up and make an actual reduction to supply

If the US fed can lower oil prices without changing supply or demand, one wonders what OPEC can do to the oil price by actually reducing supply?

ps last Wednesdays EIA report showed an increase in US oil and fuel inventories of 9 million barrels

But that was after taking 7 million barrels from the SPR and importing another 8 million - total of 15 million extra barrels into the US and only 9 million left at the end of the week 

That looks like a 6 million barrel draw down to me.   Not a sign of reduced consumption 

On the positive news side - Alberta natural gas prices seem to be back up 
 

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