RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Bank of CanadaDefinitely. Equities like bombardier will probably do pretty well in the next couple of years. This trend, has to do with price. Equities are affordable. Where as house prices have gotten outrageous. So all the Investment money flow into Equities. That doesn't mean that housing won't see investment. It just means that the value for the housing investment has to be right. Every home sale or purchase will happen out of necessity, until we start to see reasonable home prices. Cheers
flamingogold wrote: Housing recession... yes. But, equity markets will be moving to the upside well before the maximum pain is felt in real estate.
BBDB859 wrote: Ya. I think that we're going to be in this recession for 2 to 3 years for sure here in Canada. This Inflation is stubborn.
flamingogold wrote: 859, there is no thinking required lol... interest rates and real estate prices are inversely related. It is no coincidene that the apex of real estate prices occurred during covid when interest rates crashed to historical lows. Going back 40 years when borrowing rates were double digits close to 20%, the opposite was true. On an adjusted inflation basis, home prices were at their lows.
BBDB859 wrote: I'm in total agreement with assesment Flamingo of a 30% from here in TO. In fact that already on the heals of a 15% initial drop since March.
I think the house flipping, because of low interest was the biggest cause for the housing inflation here in TO. Coupled with the foreign (Hong Kong) demand. But then that's JMHO of course. Cheers
flamingogold wrote: Equity markets have the next rate increase mostly priced in. What's not priced in is in real estate. Buyers have dried up and the sellers are unwilling to drop their ask. The canyon is widening as buyer FOMO turns into JOMO... the Joy of Missing Out on real estate prices falling another 30% at least from here.
clubhouse19 wrote: Expected to raise interest rates by .75
Hotter inflation than expected.
Not good for stocks overall.
Not a good time to be on margin for sure.