RE:RE:RE:News…comments?
I personally hope that this holds above .30 like I said I don't like the .27 buy in price and hope I will be wrong about what I said this possibly going to low/mid 20s then high prior to moving back up. But on the whole the dilution is not a lot just as was the case with the debenture so I am pleased to see that is likely to remain being the case as that will allow for a better value when divesting the tech unless the company decides to get in the oil producing business which I don't see that happening but who knows for sure? Given as I said I am holding longer term these occurances shouldn't bother me but it does especially when this should have been foreseen about the damage. Having said that I hope the company has learnt to have backup parts and this does not happen again. I find it strange that it did but I believe that by the looks of it they probably didn't care as in the end the raise is with partners who are well connected with sourcing and equipment and it looks as I said a way of getting cheap shares to them for their backing. I don't mind if that is the case as these partners did kick in monies needed for all this to happen. My real get up though is a better than $2 to $10 divestment of this tech. If the company can contain the dilution to no more than 200 million outstanding and if the assessed value is 1 billion that is $5/share. 2 billion $10/share. I don't know if people will pay more than 2 billion for the tech. Just so you guys know Enbridge when I looked it up for the quarter ending June 30 2022 had a gross of $10.394 billion and by the looks of it has $40 to $50 billion in gross revenue. Conservatively I am putting what is around a 10 to 20 percent acquisition value on one quarters revenue which is a huge steal. I don't know if there will be a higher offer as I said. I would love to see as I said $40/share for this tech just for oil but assuming a 200 million fully diluted that would place a 8 billion valuation which I don't think people will want to pay. If we take a 4 billion well that would be $20/share. This may fall between 1 to 5 billion but who knows for sure. The bottom line the up and down as to what is going on now and the shares under $1 plus are not worth selling into in my eyes where the potential is considerably more buying however absolutely is different based on risk rewards potential keeping in mind that there is a possibility that the tech doesn't pan out although by the testing there is a greater possibility of success than not. I am not saying how one should manage their shares when I said it isn't worth selling below a buck but buying yes I personally am not selling or buying but what I mean is the probability of a better than a buck share value based on testing a possible 1 to 2 billion conservative acquisition value based on a share count of 200 million shares yields $5 to $10 per share but that is based on assumptions IF which are correct and prove to be true. I think as I said 10 to 20 percent of a fair size oil producers one quarter is to me bottom end fair if however we look at 1 yrs worth of 40 to 50 billion than that puts 4 to 8 billion on 40 billion and 5 to 10 billion on 50 billion and that no doubt people will love more not the potential acquiring company though---if my math is right on 200 million shares that will be $20 to $40 on the 40 billion 10 to 20 percent and $25 to $50 on the 50 billion big difference between 5 to 10 per share than $20 to $50. But folks this is all based on varying assumptions and I am just sharing how I was wanting 40/share to get that this will need to be valued at 20 percent of 40 billion which as I mentioned is the bottom end one years gross revenue to an oil producer of Enbridges size based on a dilution of no more than 200 million shares. I am a lay person sharing my thoughts as to how I calculate and say what I do. I know others put a value of even up to over $100 a share who doesn't like that. The only realistic way for really high share values is for the company to be in the oil producing business I do not see that so sadly on the tech for oil alone I don't see $100 plus shares. I see anywhere between $5 to $50 but that is a huge price range. Less than $20 will be a big rip off as far as I am concerned but I am looking for $40. Bottom line I averaged at .24 and why the .27 buy looks disastrous in the near term to me and seeing these drop this low BUT I made the decision to hold not thinking this would drop below.60 even though when things were working well this did not trade in my opinion fairly over a buck. In the grand scheme of things if I as I have laid all this out believe a bottom $5/share as to how I have calculated things I really shouldn't say much given I have said I am holding all my position however like I said it was just stupid for the company not to foresee the damages and I have a strong suspicion they didn't care because well the answer is in the press release they knew they have partners they will work with and ultimately it seems it was a way to get them cheap shares and honestly if that is more economical than diluting without their backing well that is to our benefit and I think it probably is and not a bad move in that case. To me it looks like the company is keeping the need for getting monies systematically and strategically with the partners and I feel this is way better than getting others involved who may damage the share values ruin ties and cause problems. In other words as much as I or anyone else may complain this is actually a smart way to keep the share count as low as possible. Let's see if this company can contain it to 200 million or less. Like I said ok so we have to go through the bumps and people can if they want strategically add or whatever. For me it is best not to say too much more than I already have because I know based on my assumptions and them being true or even to any portion of it and providing the company's tech works out I know I will do better than my cost averaged price. I rolled the dice added to my small position I decided to hold all that I have well now I just live with the decision. I have said I will hold all shares and will vote down any acquisition offer for the oil and gas tech less than $40 which I will...that folks is getting on the higher end of the scale I am not at all saying $40 and $50 a share for this is not possible but rather something I don't think an acquiring party will want to pay. I can see $5 to $20 so while I want $40 plus I have to simply be happy with what comes whether I reject it as I said I will. The truth is whatever does come should be quite a bit better than what I will get now by holding and the reason I did not want to trade is I know I will have x money on all my shares vs x money on possibly fewer shares. I will stay more course but as things are proving time and time again it would have been better take my money out and buy later if down if not well I still have my cores 9.8 times I would have been further ahead taking the profit on some holding my cores. There may have only been .02 times I wouldn't have been. Anyways things looks like they should be up and running soon. Again just gut within a month as it will not benefit anyone for things to drag and the company nearly had three months already to continue to work on things but let's see where they go. Best for me to deal with this the way I do pqe just let things happen and don't bother about them unless they get closer to what I am after which will not likely be for at least a year. I will close my eyes/look the other way for as long as this trades where it is. Still in the warm up stage lol. doing some stretches to work out and tightness pulled muscles etc so that we will be game ready. All good overall other than what I said about foresight I really don't have much to complain about unless not being told about how much oil being produced is a huge deal to me. If the company says running at full capacity well I laid out my calculations. I base my valuation on a producer the size of Enbridge and as explained above so how much oil is being produced is somewhat not essential. If the company gets into the oil producing business than that's different I don't see it going that way and as such I would not be looking at $100 plus share values as stated above and to that extent for oil and gas part of this business see a divested share values in the ranges above based on heavy assumptions. No doubt trying to put a value on potential is not easy and that is what we have mostly right now as the revenue is in itself quite small. Anyways I need to close my eyes sock this away and wait.