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Trillion Energy International Inc. C.TCF

Alternate Symbol(s):  C.TCF.WT | TRLEF

Trillion Energy International Inc. is a Canada-based oil and gas producing company that strives to maximize shareholder value through a mix of offshore gas development and high-impact oil and gas exploration in Cudi-Gabar province SE Turkey. The Company is 49% owner of the South Akcakoca Sub-Basin (SASB) natural gas field, a natural gas development project with four offshore platforms, pipelines and gas plant located in shallow water black sea. The Company also has the Vranino 1-11 block, a prospective unconventional natural gas property in Bulgaria.


CSE:TCF - Post by User

Post by Humaniston Nov 25, 2022 2:58pm
190 Views
Post# 35128830

THIS WEEK TRILLION DISPATCH GAZPROM THREATENS GAS FLOWS

THIS WEEK TRILLION DISPATCH GAZPROM THREATENS GAS FLOWS

In this week's Trillion Dispatch

  • Gazprom threatens to curb gas flows

  • Europe poised for colder weather

  • LNG supply squeeze looming?

 
 

The Big Idea...

Gazprom Threatens To Curb European Gas Flows Through Ukraine

Russia’s Gazprom said on Tuesday it could begin reducing natural gas supply to Europe via Ukraine as of next Monday after noticing that part of the volumes through Ukraine are not reaching Moldova.

Russia still sends some gas via pipelines to Europe, via one transit route through Ukraine and via TurkStream. Additional reduction in volumes would come just as temperatures in Europe dipped to seasonal or below-seasonal levels after warm October and early November allowed the EU to fill up its natural gas storage.

Now Gazprom says that it has noticed some of the gas intended for Moldova under a contract with the local gas firm is being diverted by Ukraine. If the imbalance in gas transit continues, Gazprom will start reducing gas flows via Ukraine on the morning of November 28, the Russian gas giant said today, as carried by Russian news agency TASS.

Europe’s benchmark gas prices rose by 2% after Gazprom’s announcement on Tuesday.

Europe is more or less prepared to face this winter with nearly full gas storage sites and a steady flow of LNG imports. Still, lower Russian gas supply – although Europe is preparing for this possibility – would deplete gas in storage levels more this winter.

The real concern about gas supply in Europe is for the winter after that, the top executives of Europe’s biggest oil and gas majors said just before the heating season began.   

By: Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

 
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Latest in...

European Cold Spell Poised to Boost Energy Demand for Weeks

After a milder-than-normal autumn in Europe, winter weather is finally arriving. 

Chilly temperatures are poised to test the region’s fragile energy systems, hurt by a sharp drop in Russian gas flows and extended nuclear outages. From France to Finland, governments have warned of power shortages and rolling blackouts as demand is set to peak in the coming months. 

Much of continental Europe is poised for colder weather than previously forecast for the next two weeks, according to Maxar Technologies Inc. Temperatures in Berlin are expected to drop as low as -3.5 degrees Celsius (26 Fahrenheit) on Dec. 3. Cities from Amsterdam to Helsinki and Stockholm will also fall below seasonal norms. 

An unseasonably warm autumn has meant that Europe has built up robust winter gas storage levels. While currently at almost 95% full, they’ve been declining steadily for almost 10 days, according to data from Gas Infrastructure Europe. 

France, Spain and Portugal will remain mild for the next few days, but the current weather pattern will by next week weaken to a cold front, according to Maxar.

By: Josefine Fokuhl                                                                             
©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

 
 
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Latest in...

 

Japan Believes An LNG Supply Squeeze Is Looming

A cross-section of energy analysts have lately provided a mixed outlook on the natural gas sector. In its latest Short Term Energy Outlook, the U.S. Energy Information (EIA) was bearish and forecasted that natural gas spot price at Henry Hub would average ~$6 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) across 4Q22 and 1Q23 - more than $1/MMBtu lower than their October forecast mainly due to higher-than-expected storage levels heading into winter. The EIA also said that it expects natural gas prices to decline after January as the deficit to the five-year average in inventories decreases.

However, just three weeks ago, the Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA) warned thatEurope could face a gap of as much as 30 billion cubic meters (bcm) of natural gas during the key summer period for refilling its gas storage sites in 2023. According to the IEA, “…the process of filling EU gas storage sites this year benefitted from key factors that may well not be repeated in 2023”. 

The IEA also noted that “these include Russian pipeline gas deliveries that, although they were cut sharply during 2022, were close to ‘normal’ levels for much of the first half of the year. Total pipeline supply from Russia to the EU in 2022 is likely to amount to around 60 bcm, but it is highly unlikely that Russia will deliver another 60 bcm of pipeline gas in 2023 – and Russian deliveries to Europe could halt completely.”

Now, there is another punter that has taken sides with the bulls. Japan has warned that global competition for liquefied natural gas is set to intensify over the next three years due to an underinvestment in supply.

By: Alex Kimani for Oilprice.com

 
 
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Latest in...

EU Fails To Agree On Gas Price Caps

Plans to introduce price caps on natural gas prices have hit a dead-end after EU energy ministers on Thursday failed to reach an agreement amid deep divisions. 

Czech Industry Minister Jozef Sikela has, however, said that the ministers did manage to agree on other "important measures", including joint gas purchases, supply solidarity in times of need and expediting the authorization process for renewable energy. Sikela has also revealed that the ministers will meet again In December to try and work out their differences.

Earlier this week, the European Commission issued a statement whereby it declared what it called a “safety price ceiling” for gas prices set at 275 euros, or $283 dollars, per megawatt-hour.  

The EC also planned to tie benchmark European gas futures prices to the price of liquefied natural gas on the spot market. The “safety price ceiling” would be triggered automatically, when “the front-month TTF derivative settlement price exceeds €275 for two weeks” and, second, when “TTF prices are €58 higher than the LNG reference price for 10 consecutive trading days within the two weeks”.

Both moves have caused trepidation amongst gas traders, “Even a short intervention would have severe, unintended and irreversible consequences in harming market confidence that the value of gas is known and transparent,” said the European Federation of Energy Traders this week.

By: Alex Kimani for Oilprice.com

 
 
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Latest in...

 

Uniper Says Deal For Government Aid Package Is Being Finalized

Uniper SE will need additional capital of up to €25 billion from the German government as Russia’s gas supply cuts leave the utility giant struggling to survive.

An initial government injection of €8 billion will not be sufficient to stabilize the company, it said in a statement on Wednesday. The additional authorized capital will be created by issuing new shares -- to which only the government will be admitted to subscribe -- and is intended to cover future losses. 

“The capital measures agreed with the German government will end months of uncertainty for our company and our customers,” said Uniper CEO Klaus-Dieter Maubach. “The government support will allow Uniper to continue supplying gas to its customers at the terms contracted before the war.”

Uniper has been one of the companies hardest hit by a reduction in Russian gas flows amid the war in Ukraine. Gas prices have soared to levels beyond what the utility was paying for fuel piped from Russia. 

The company’s costs for procuring gas in the more expensive wholesale markets can’t be fully passed through to consumers. That is because the government scrapped a levy that would allow sharing the burden of high prices and replaced it with a price cap that doesn’t help suppliers.

The utility reported a net loss of about €40 billion in the first nine months of the year, including realized costs for gas replacement volumes and anticipated future losses.

The government’s move to nationalize of the company by the end of the year marks one of Germany’s biggest step to date to protect the country from blackouts and rationing this winter and beyond. 

The stabilization package is still subject to regulatory approvals, including by the EU Commission, with whom consultations are ongoing, according to the statement. 


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