RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Bank Of Nova Scotia Pays a 6.2% DiviPer last post on this we hit (slightly exceeded $5.88 range) today and currently the weekly candle is red with a topping tail.
It's the monthyly charts on the Meg's, BTE's and CJ's of the world that look absolutely terrifying to me.
My bear case for oil over next few months is WTI $43 range as a "bottom". Not saying it will but this is how I'm measuring my downside risk.
Oil and the oil stocks hitting the top of the down channel and the coming of the top of the bollinger bands.
If the bear case plays out it will take time. A weekly/monthly grind lower with some trading opportunities... but the trend appears to the downside. The biggest driving factor for me is that monthly MACD. When it crosses over it's often for a long sustained period of time.
Snowballer wrote: Yeah in looking at the quality (resilience) of the two yields, the charts on the banks look SIGNIFICANTLY Stronger. If BNS dropped to $25 in 2023 i'd put 100% of my money in it lol. But If the run continues (MACD looking GOOD!)I think we coud test $78.
Right now the MACD on the oils and the banks are polar opposites.. BTE may hit the $5.88 range Monday but could just as easily start the next red candle down on the weekly which would resemble the weekly MACD.
Anyway i'll leave it there on BNS as this is the BTE board.
TheWokeLemming wrote:
Snowballer wrote: That's a good thought. What do you think about CJ's divi getting cut if oil remains in bear market and lives in $60 range for a bit? Likely or not likely on divi cut? I'd like to add CJ if we head back into $6's or $5's
TheWokeLemming wrote:
Snowballer wrote: Which is what will make their price look so attractive I think. FEAR. There is a nice trendline for every big market crash. I think this is a good time to start adding. I see $50's for BNS as the downside and $85 as the upside. That is a nice yield to start the buying I think.
TheWokeLemming wrote:
Snowballer wrote: Also going after the banks here in 2023... thoughts?
Foreclosures increase with higher monetary policy. I'm avoiding the banks.
Each to their own. I prefer my 10.2% yield in Cardinal Energy and the possibility of oil being near a bottom. The soft landing looks a lot more plausible and that should raise gas demand prior to the bottom of the housing market IMHO.
If oil does go into the mid-60s then all bets are off on the divvy. Already they've most likely stopped buying shares back. Obviously I'm a believer that oil is going higher and hopefully tests your $87-$88 top end in the near term.