What happens to OYL shares if FEC is sold intact after Wei?With Catalyst Capital's ownership of FEC shares now approaching 40% with the agressive share buy back program, and CC's Managing Director and Partner Chairing FEC and Co-Chairing CGX which FEC now refers to as a majority owned subsidiary, what do others think will happen if the Wei-1 well is a gusher? The decision obviously is almost totally up to Gab de Alba who pretty much calls the shots for CC, FEC and CGX. If a gusher, I see FEC entertaining selling itself to the higher bidder. This would include 2 ports, with Puerta Bahia being one of the largest on most strategic ports in the world due to its close proximy to the Panama and a refinery and the ability to load/unload the largest ships in the world, 2 at a time and also would include the shares owned of their various subsidiaries including their 78% ownership of CGX shares.
Clearly, CC has a fiduciary responsability to the pension funds and other conservative investors that in their Limited Partnership Fund(s) that trusted CC with millions of Pension Fund type money to buy and hold FEC shares (among other investments) to not subject them to undue risk like the political risk that has increased in Colombia, the volitility of the price of oil, and surely not the risk of developing a costly offshore oil field with or without big $$ partners. Thus I think Gab and company have already been testing the waters and conferring with its financial advisors.regarding selling the entire FEC package intact.
My question, if FEC is sold, what happens to the OYL shareholders, which also includes me? I agree, it makes sense to keep CGX intact for various reasons but what if FEC were to be bought by CNOOC who loves ports and already in embedded in Colombia and invested in Guyana infrastructure and already a player in offshore Guyana? Let's say FEC is sold in a cash deal. How would OLY shareholders be compensated?
If Wei is a duster is a discussion for another day.