My concern about their revised production run-rate is thattheir are indications of a long term problem with water levels for the manus river route. i.e although the water levels are fine now, the level is lower than it was previously for this time of year which may have been part of a trend off lower waterlevels. Remember they have always had the social unrest/ perez factor and that didn't keep them from a 20-24000 bopd production run rate. It was this about face that had me sell half my shares in the 70 cent level after riding the ups and downs from the 30 cent range over the last few years, With the new production guidance I am willing to wait for the next AIDECOBAD/ Perez shutdown to drop the shares back to the 50 cent range as management credibilty have taken a tremendous hit with the blindiside drop to guiddance,