CIBC comments - bearish - missed consensusCIBC is probably the most critical analyst on the street, so take it with a grant of salt. Also hard to know what consensus is anymore given how much the share price tanked after Q3 - so people might have adjusted their expectations and just didn't pubilsh the report. Below is a quick extract - they have a price target of $5.25.
Pre-releases Q4 Results That Are Below Consensus Conclusion:
Converge pre-released Q4 results that were below consensus. The midpoint of net revenue was 3% below consensus and the midpoint of adj. EBITDA 18% below. Adj. EBITDA margin (as a percentage of gross profit) was 25.2% at the midpoint, 340 bps below the Street. Backlog was up $52MM sequentially to $556MM, with company noting continued supplychain challenges, specifically around networking gear. The press release did not mention the ongoing strategic review process. We will be looking for commentary around progress of acquisition integration, strategic review process, and additional details on lengthening sales cycle when the company releases full results on March 15, followed by a conference call on March 16.
Q4 Results: The midpoint of net revenue ($771MM) missed consensus, but came in above CIBCe ($791.5MM/$720.5MM), while midpoint gross profit of $169MM came in below Street, but slightly above CIBCe ($182MM/ $162MM). Adjusted EBITDA of $42.5MM was 18% below Street and slightly above CIBC estimates ($51.9MM/$38.9MM). Backlog was up $52MM sequentially to $556MM, with management noting continued supply chain headwinds.