RE:Seeking Alpha articleGreat article, thanks for writing.
Since you asked, a couple of things I would have mentioned:
- current run-rate EBITDA is $70 million, so while you are correct it could be under some pressure this year, I think your estimates are very conservative
- FCF, as management reports it, was understated in 2022 due to the unusual inventory build. FCF could be up in 2023 even if EBITDA dips.
I agree the dividend yield could easily be 10% if mgmt decided to raise the payout.