RE:Return of Capital FrameworkI don't know how this will happen from what i can see is that their capital budget is $425 million and with 1.356 billion in debt you are looking at them paying off between 250-350 million in the first 3 quarters.
In Q4 their AFFO was less than 200 million, 196 million.
So in Q4 they spent 125 million Capital, and dividend of 21 million dollars, 25 million share buy backs and it says their 64,344 was their production. What left not much.
In Q1 i don't think prices were any stronger than Q4.
My take on it is TVE is essentially bankrupt, and the dividend will need to be slashed, and the share buybacks they can't afford them. Their capital budget is very skinny and they need $100 WTI to really make a go of things.
Interest costs it hard to figure out but they must be between 80-100 million dollars. There is almost $4 dollars in interest associated with every boe of oil produced.
To much debt and to low a capital budget, it seems like it will go sideway and the share price will errode.
To me it looks like their in bad shape, and could not with stand a major downward fall in oil prices. The only place they can cut is their capital budget and that aready is pretty low at 425 million. It looks like they are only forecasting 5% growth based on year end production numbers, i can't see them retireing that much debt.
IMHO