TSX:FCR.UN - Post by User
Post by
retiredcfon May 03, 2023 8:39am
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Post# 35427023
RBC
RBCMay 2, 2023
First Capital REIT
Underlying Q1 print a bit ahead of us, in line with Street; strong organic growth
TSX: FCR.UN | CAD 15.60 | Outperform | Price Target CAD 21.00
Sentiment: Neutral
Our view: FCR reported headline Q1/23 FFOPU of $0.25, below RBC/Street at $0.27E/$0.28E, and flat with last year ($0.25). However, excluding $7MM ($0.03/unit) of unitholder activism related costs, Q1/23 FFOPU was $0.28, slightly ahead of our call on higher interest/other income. Overall, strong operational results, with occupancy edging up, high-single-digit renewal leasing spreads, and solid organic growth. As previously announced, progress is also being made on the disposition program, while the IFRS NAV held steady. Conference call May-3 (2 pm ET; 1-800-898-3989; passcode 6415917).
Highlights:
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SP-stable NOI up strong 3.9% YoY, with total SP NOI (incl. redevelopments) +4% YoY. Growth was driven by rent escalations and higher variable revenues.
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Total occupancy improved to 96.2% (+40 bps QoQ, +70 bps YoY), with SP-occupancy at 96.3% (+20 bps QoQ, +40 bps YoY).
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Renewal leasing spreads were strong at +9.3%, or +10.8% using the average renewal term rent vs. the final year expiring rent. In-place net rent rose to $23.06/sf (+0.5% QoQ, +2.2% YoY).
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Reported NAVPU stable at $23.48 (flat QoQ, -4% YoY). In Q1, FCR booked a nominal net $3MM fair value charge on the portfolio to reflect market conditions and rising interest rates. The IFRS cap rate was flat QoQ at 5.2% (+20 bps YoY) vs. our 5.4% NAV cap rate and the current 6.5% implied cap.
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Good execution on disposition program. As announced on Apr-11, FCR has entered into agreements to sell four properties for an aggregate $184MM (3.3% yield), raising total dispositions to $360MM (<3% yield) vs. its ~$1B target by the end of 2024. Assets held for sale at Q1/23 total $327MM.
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Limited acquisitions. In Q1, FCR acquired a 50% interest in a Toronto property for $16MM, completing its assembly on the northeast corner of Bloor St. W. & Spadina Road. A rezoning application was filed for 336K sf of mixed-use high-rise density.
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NCIB was active in Q1, with $20MM of units repurchased (1.3MM units @ $15.32/unit).
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Net debt/assets increased to 44.6% (+60 bps QoQ, +80 bps YoY); 10.4x debt/EBITDA (+0.2x QoQ, -0.7x YoY), or 10.2x excluding activism related costs.