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Lundin Mining Corp T.LUN

Alternate Symbol(s):  LUNMF

Lundin Mining Corporation is a diversified Canadian base metals mining company. It has operations and projects in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Portugal, Sweden and the United States of America, producing copper, zinc, gold and nickel. Its operations include Candelaria, Caserones, Chapada, Eagle, Josemaria Project, Neves-Corvo and Zinkgruvan. The Candelaria Copper Mining Complex comprises two adjacent copper mining operations, Candelaria and Ojos del Salado, that produce copper concentrates. Caserones is an open pit copper-molybdenum mine which produces copper concentrate, copper cathode and molybdenum concentrate. Chapada is an open pit copper-gold mine producing copper concentrate. Eagle is located in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan, United States, in Michigamme Township of Marquette County. Josemaria is a large-scale copper-gold-silver project. Neves-Corvo is a mainly copper and zinc mine producing copper, zinc and lead concentrates. Zinkgruvan mines underground from several orebodies.


TSX:LUN - Post by User

Post by retiredcfon May 04, 2023 9:35am
109 Views
Post# 35429657

TD

TD

Lundin Mining Corp.

(LUN-T) C$10.43

Q1/23: ZEP Finding its Legs Event

May 4, 2023

Recommendation: HOLD

Risk: HIGH

12-Month Target Price: C$11.00

12-Month Dividend (Est.): C$0.54

12-Month Total Return: 10.6%

LUN reported adjusted Q1/23 EPS of $0.16, in line with TD at $0.15 and consensus at $0.17. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $336.9 million (TD $314 million; consensus $339 million).

Impact: NEUTRAL

Consolidated copper, zinc, and nickel production were in line with our forecasts. Consolidated copper production totaled 61,462 tonnes (TD 62,884 tonnes), while consolidated zinc production totaled 48,553 tonnes (TD 47,192 tonnes). Management noted that production was in line with expectations and tracking towards the 2023 production guidance ranges. On a q/q basis, copper production was up 9% and zinc production increased 10%.

Cash operating costs were mixed but generally in line with our expectations.

The C1 copper operating cost at Candelaria was $2.21/lb (TD $1.98) - Q1/23 cash costs were impacted by new labour agreements (including bonus payments) reached with the two remaining unions at the operation, which impacted Candelaria’s production costs by $0.08/lb. At Chapada, the C1 copper operating cost was $2.37/ lb (TD $2.58/lb), down ~20% from Q4/22. Neves Corvo operating costs were better than we expected at $1.69/lb, which compares to our forecast of $2.39/lb, which was the result of better zinc production than we expected. LUN has maintained its cash cost guidance for the year.

The Zinc Expansion Project (ZEP) at Neves Corvo appears to be gaining some traction. Zinc production almost doubled relative to Q1/22 to ~27,800 tonnes and zinc recoveries were 78.7% in Q1/23 vs. 66.1% in Q1/22. C1 cash costs were $1.69/ lb, flat y/y, demonstrating the impact of higher zinc byproduct credits - on a q/q basis, the cash cost was down ~25%.

Josemaria Project engineering and early site work moving forward. Plant engineering was at 39% completion as of March 31, including procurement of key long lead equipment. Early works continue onsite, mainly with the completion of the Phase 1 camp construction which was 94% complete and internal access road construction was 84% complete at the end of the quarter.

LUN ended the quarter with cash and net debt balances of approximately $180M and $90M, respectively. Available liquidity at the end of the quarter was ~ $1.7 billion.


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